Magazine

Table: Who Are the Safety Net Swing Voters?


Roughly one-third of the American public approves of George Bush's job performance and likes the way he has handled Social Security. A larger bloc -- nearly half the population -- is hard-core anti-Bush. These voters dislike the President and oppose his plan to create private Social Security investment accounts. In the middle are the one in six Americans who approve of Bush's overall job performance but are uncomfortable with his approach to Social Security. These are the Safety Net swing voters. Who are these people?

Most of them are white men. They tend to be socially conservative and patriotic. They're more likely to have backed the invasion of Iraq and to attend religious services regularly. They make an average income and are slightly less educated than the average American. The largest group is moderate Republicans, though many are conservative Republicans, Independents, and blue-collar Reagan Democrats.

Here's a numerical snapshot of the Safety Net Swing Voters. The larger the gap, the more of these people in the electorate.

SAFETY NET SWING VOTERS

Group

Bush Job Approval

Bush Soc. Sec. Approval

The Gap

White men

56%

36%

20%

High school education

46%

27%

19%

Married

53%

36%

17%

Parents

52%

32%

20%

Union households

38%

20%

18%

Supporter of war in Iraq

79%

50%

29%

White Protestant

61%

39%

12%

Evangelical

69%

46%

23%

White Catholic

46%

29%

17%

Independent

41%

22%

19%

Republican

86%

60%

26%

Conservative Republican

93%

68%

25%

Moderate/Lib. Republican

78%

48%

30%

$50-$75K

54%

36%

18%

$30-$50K

43%

26%

17%

$20-$30K

46%

27%

19%

South

53%

33%

20%

West

46%

28%

18%

Source: The Pew Research Center for the People and the Press


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