Analyst Patrick Walravens cut the $17 target to $15 to reflect an overall decrease in software trading multiples that has occurred over the past six months. He notes that his new target places Oracle at 24 times the calendar 2005 p-e, a slight discount to the peer group.
Walravens believes Oracle will continue to benefit from better sales execution, a recovery in database investments, and gradual improvement in information-technology spending in 2004. He notes fourth-quarter EPS were a penny above his estimate and consensus estimates. He says Oracle guided to 9 cents first-quarter EPS, in line with his and consensus estimates.
Walravens raised the 56 cents fiscal 2005 (May) EPS estimate to 58 cents, and set a 67 cents fiscal 2006 EPS estimate.