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Table: Commentary


Investment Figures of the Week

TABLE: COMMENTARY

Interest rates are rising, currencies are falling, and the stock markets are

scared. The Dow industrials slid four days in a row before making a tiny gain

on Jan. 25 and finished the week down 1.5%. Actually, the U.S. market is a

relative tower of strength. The British market was down over 2%, the French

over 3%. South of the border, both the Mexican stock market and peso continued

to lose ground. Tokyo stocks dropped 5.5%, as investors assessed the financial

damage from the Kobe earthquake.

MARKET ANALYSIS

% change

U.S. STOCKS Latest Week 52-week

DOW JONES INDUSTRIALS 3871.5 -1.5 -0.9

MIDSIZE COMPANIES (S&P MidCap Index) 171.5 -1.2 -4.2

SMALL COMPANIES (Russell 2000) 248.8 -1.4 -5.3

ALL COMPANIES (Russell 3000) 267.5 -0.7 -2.1

% change (local currency)

FOREIGN STOCKS Latest Week 52-week

LONDON (FINANCIAL TIMES 100) 2982.2 -2.4 -13.2

TOKYO (NIKKEI INDEX) 18,159.5 -5.5 -5.1

TORONTO (TSE COMPOSITE) 4106.4 -1.5 -7.9

FUNDAMENTALS Latest Week ago Year ago

90-DAY TREASURY BILL YIELD 5.93% 5.85% 2.98%

30-YEAR TREASURY BOND YIELD 7.86% 7.77% 6.31%

S&P 500 DIVIDEND YIELD 2.77% 2.76% 2.57%

S&P 500 PRICE/EARNINGS RATIO 16.6 17.1 22.5

TECHNICAL INDICATORS Latest Week ago Reading

S&P 500 200-day moving average 458.4 457.9 Positive

Stocks above 200-day moving average 37.0% 40.0% Positive

Speculative sentiment: Put/call ratio 0.64 0.53r Neutral

Insider sentiment: Vickers sell/buy ratio 0.88 0.94 Positive

INDUSTRY GROUPS BLOOMBERG FINANCIAL MARKETS

% change % change

FOUR-WEEK LEADERS 4- 52- Strongest stock 4- 52-

week week in group week week Price

1 SEMICONDUCTORS 9.4 15.2 ADVANCED MICRO 36.6 62.3 31 1/4

DEVICES

2 AIRLINES 9.1 -26.0 USAIR GROUP 11.8 -67.5 4 3/4

3 LEISURE TIME 9.0 -4.6 BALLY ENTERTAINMENT 23.1 -15.8 8

4 AFTERMARKET AUTO PARTS 6.8 -11.8 ECHLIN 12.9 1.1 33 7/8

5 METAL AND GLASS CONTAINERS 6.4 6.5 BALL 9.5 19.8 33 1/4

% change % change

FOUR-WEEK LAGGARDS 4- 52- Weakest stock 4- 52-

week week in group week week Price

1 AUTOMOBILES -4.9 -28.0 GENERAL MOTORS -6.1 -36.3 38 3/4

2 SHOES -3.7 18.4 STRIDE RITE -7.5 -38.6 10 3/4

3 LONG-DISTANCE -3.6 -17.0 AT&T -4.7 -13.2 48 5/8

TELECOMMUNICATIONS

4 TRUCKING -3.6 -17.5 ROADWAY SERVICES -7.7 -20.1 50 3/4

5 COSMETICS -3.2 19.1 AVON PRODUCTS -6.8 5.3 56 7/8

MUTUAL FUNDS MORNINGSTAR INC.

LEADERS LAGGARDS

Four-week total return % Four-week total return %

1 PERKINS OPPORTUNITY WRIGHT EQUIFUND-MEXICO

7.2 NATL.FID.EQTY. -23.5

2 WRIGHT EQUIFUND-ITALIAN BT INVESTMENT LATIN

NATL.FID.EQTY. 6.8 AMERICAN EQUITY -16.7

3 GOVETT SMALLER HERCULES LATIN

COMPANIES 6.5 AMERICAN VALUE -15.6

52-week total return % 52-week total return %

1 SELIGMAN COMMUNICATIONS MONITREND

& INFORM. A 30.7 GOLD -55.0

2 GOVETT SMALLER STEADMAN OCEANOGRAPHIC

COMPANIES 25.1 TECHONOLOGY -40.2

3 ALLIANCE TECHNOLOGY A 24.4 WRIGHT EQUIFUND- -40.1

HONGKONGNATL.FID.EQ.

RELATIVE PORTFOLIOS DRI/McGRAW-HILL

Money market fund U.S.stocks Gold Foreign stocks Treasury bonds


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