Bloomberg News

U.S. East Coast May Stay Mild Through February, Forecasters Say

February 17, 2012

Feb. 15 (Bloomberg) -- The eastern U.S. may remain milder than normal through the end of February as colder weather clings to the West and Canada, according to forecasters.

Temperatures in the Northeast, including New York, and the mid-Atlantic states may be 5 to 7 degrees Fahrenheit (2.8 to 3.9 Celsius) above normal, according to MDA EarthSat Weather in Gaithersburg, Maryland.

“Large-scale drivers still point mostly to the warmer side given the ongoing Pacific dominance over any high latitude impacts,” MDA said in a 6- to 10-day outlook today.

Warmer weather in the eastern U.S. affects energy use because the population density is much higher, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. About 51 percent of U.S. households use natural gas for heating, the Energy Department says.

Traders watch temperature predictions to gauge demand for natural gas, heating oil and electricity.

The high temperature in New York is expected to reach 51 by the end of the week and into the 40s over the weekend, according to the National Weather Service.

The high later this week may be 48 in Boston; 46 in Chicago; 52 in Washington; 64 in Atlanta; and 60 in Dallas.

Temperatures may drop 8 degrees below normal across parts of Alberta to Manitoba and the northern U.S. Great Plains from Feb. 25 to Feb. 29, according to an 11- to 15-day outlook from Matt Rogers, president of Commodity Weather Group LLC in Bethesda, Maryland.

While that colder air will spread throughout the U.S. West, Rogers said he expects it will weaken as it moves toward the east. He predicts temperatures will remain above normal along the East Coast and seasonal in the Appalachian Mountain region and the Ohio Valley.

The normal average temperature in New York on Feb. 22 is 37 degrees, according to MDA. It’s 33 in Boston; 38 in Philadelphia; 49 in Atlanta; 30 in Chicago; 52 in Dallas; 44 in Seattle; and 57 in Burbank, California.

--Editors: Charlotte Porter, Richard Stubbe

To contact the reporter on this story: Brian K. Sullivan in Boston at bsullivan10@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Dan Stets at dstets@bloomberg.net


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