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Volkswagen Has Nowhere to Go But Up With New Subcompact: Cars

By Andreas Cremer
August 31, 2011

Aug. 31 (Bloomberg) -- Berlin florist Manfred Reich drove Volkswagen AG vehicles for 25 years until a lack of subcompact models led him to Toyota Motor Corp. five years ago. Now, he’s mulling a switch back to the German automaker when the Up! city car reaches dealerships later this year.

“VW didn’t have the right product at the time,” said Reich, 58, who has owned his Toyota Aygo since 2006 and wants to sell it after “multiple” defects. “Now they do.”

Europe’s biggest automaker is expanding the 62-model portfolio at the namesake brand division by adding its smallest and cheapest vehicle, seeking to tap growing demand for fuel- efficient compact cars. The four-seat Up will cost about 9,500 euros ($13,800) and compete with the Aygo and PSA Peugeot Citroen’s C1 mini in the segment of the volume car market least affected by the global economic slowdown.

The Up will be the first VW brand car built entirely from scratch to come to market under Chief Executive Officer Martin Winterkorn. The vehicle, due to go on sale in December, is strategically important for Winterkorn, who took over in January of 2007, as VW aims to claim the industry’s top global sales position by 2018, leapfrogging Toyota and General Motors Co.

“VW is plugging a meaningful gap in its portfolio,” said Henner Lehne, a Frankfurt-based analyst at research firm IHS Automotive. “You can’t afford to be lacking a solid footing in the budget segment if you want to become the world leader.”

‘Huge Potential’

Sales of subcompact cars may rise 30 percent to 7.61 million by 2014, according to IHS. The Up may attract at least 100,000 new customers to the VW brand, marketing chief Luca de Meo said at a presentation of the car yesterday at the automaker’s headquarters in Wolfsburg, Germany. The model, which will not be sold in the U.S., is primarily for European customers, he said.

“This is a small vehicle with huge potential,” Winterkorn told reporters at the presentation. “The Up is another component of our growth strategy.”

IHS estimates deliveries of the Up, which is 3.54 meters (11.6 feet) long and 1.64 meters wide, may more than double to 279,717 in 2014 from 118,645 in 2012, its first full year on the market. Sales of the Aygo, which measures 3.42 meters long and 1.62 meters wide, may grow 26 percent to 89,095 over the next three years, while the C1 will gain 6.1 percent to 90,553, IHS forecasts.

Third Time Lucky?

Subcompact sales are rising as buyers seek city cars for driving in urban centers and governments push automakers to build vehicles that burn less fuel. Volkswagen has failed in the past to gain traction in this market, with the Up marking its third attempt to build a globally successful subcompact.

VW halted production of the Lupo in 2005 after sales of the vehicle missed targets during its seven-year lifespan, while exports of the Fox, still built in Brazil, were squeezed by the appreciation of the real against the dollar. VW may replace the Fox with the Up, Ulrich Hackenberg, Volkswagen brand development chief, said at yesterday’s presentation.

“We’ve long been lacking a presence in the small-car market,” said Ernst-Robert Nouvertne, who runs two VW dealerships in Solingen, Germany, about 25 kilometers (15 miles) northeast of Cologne. “The Up will attract new customers to the VW brand.”

The three-door Up is based on a new underbody developed for a family of small cars that will include a roomier five-door version and a minivan, VW spokesman Markus Arand said. VW will run over 200 TV commercials and the same number of newspaper ads later this year to promote the model across Europe, de Meo said.

Shared Architecture

Volkswagen’s Czech division Skoda and Spanish unit Seat are sharing the Up architecture to develop vehicles to sell at less than 9,000 euros, said one person on condition he not be identified because the price and details of the models haven’t been published yet.

VW is building the Up in Bratislava, Slovakia, where lower wages help trim costs. Auto workers in the eastern European nation earned on average 8.08 euros per hour last year, the third-lowest in a ranking of 17 EU member states, according to the VDA German carmakers’ lobby. German workers earned 43.76 euros per hour in 2010.

Still, the Up’s 9,500-euro price tag means it won’t be the cheapest offering in the subcompact segment. The Kia Motor Corp.’s Picanto starts at 8,990 euros and GM’s Chevy Spark begins at 9,140 euros.

VW hopes the new model will help win over buyers like Simon Dobiasch, a 34-year-old online salesman at Deutsche Lufthansa AG in Frankfurt who was taken by the cheap price for subcompacts when he decided to buy his Aygo last year. The father of two now commutes to work from his home in Hanau in less than half the time required by train.

“I’m gaining flexibility and time,” Dobiasch said. “The car has been a valuable investment.”

--Editors: Chad Thomas, Heather Harris

To contact the reporter on this story: Andreas Cremer in Berlin at acremer@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Chad Thomas at cthomas16@bloomberg.net

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