NOVEMBER 6, 2002

Advice from Standard and Poors
WORD ON THE STREET

UBS Warburg Cuts Amgen to 'Hold'
Analyst Meirav Chovav thinks sales estimates for certain drugs are too high, and he's concerned about valuation

 
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UBS Warburg downgraded Amgen (AMGN ) to hold from buy.


Analyst Meirav Chovav says the downgrade was based on valuation and concerns affecting the core product portfolio. Chovav believes the $1.3 billion 2003 Street estimates for Enbrel are too high, especially with the approval of Abbott Lab's D2E7 product looming. He thinks the company's Aranesp is being reimbursed at a disadvantage to Procrit, and believes there is significant excess inventory of Neupogen.

Chovav says news that Amgen will push back its analyst meeting eliminates a potentially positive catalyst of 2003 guidance and a showcase of Amgen's pipeline. With shares approaching the $51 target, Chovav sees limited upside potential.




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