AP News

Ahead of the Bell: US new home sales

WASHINGTON (AP) — Sales of new homes likely slipped in February after climbing to a 4½-year high in January.

Economists were forecasting that new home sales dipped to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 424,000 in February, according to a survey by FactSet. The report will be released at 8:30 a.m. EDT Tuesday.

In January, new home sales rose to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 437,000. That was the fastest pace since July 2008.

While sales remain below the 700,000 level considered healthy, the housing recovery is gaining strength and is starting to look sustainable.

Last week, the National Association of Realtors reported that sales of previously owned homes rose 0.8 percent in February to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.98 million units. That was the fastest sales pace since November 2009 when a temporary home buyer tax credit had boosted sales.

Steady job creation and near-record-low mortgage rates are spurring more Americans to buy houses.

The rise in demand is helping to boost sales and prices in most markets. Low inventories have been a problem but the Realtors reported a gain in the number of homes on the market at the end of February compared to January. It was the first monthly rise in inventories of previously owned homes since April although the increase still left the total 19 percent below a year ago.

But analysts saw the increase as a hopeful sign that more homeowners are gaining confidence in the housing recovery and becoming willing to put their homes up for sale, helping to alleviate an inventory squeeze which had held back sales in many markets.

Low inventories are just one of several constraints. First-time home buyers are viewed as critical to any sustainable housing recovery, but their numbers are still below healthy levels. They made up 30 percent of existing home sales in February, still well below the 40 percent that is typical in a healthy market.

Since the housing bubble burst more than six years ago, banks have imposed tighter credit conditions and required larger down payments. Those changes have left many would-be buyers unable to qualify for the super-low mortgage rates which have been spurred by the Federal Reserve's efforts to ease credit as a way to give the economy a boost.

Rising demand for homes has encouraged builders to boost construction. Builders started work at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 910,000 in February, the second fastest pace since June 2008. Applications for building permits rose to 946,000, the highest level since June 2008.

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