Posted by: Peter Burrows on July 30, 2009
Normally, CEOs use their introductory remarks at their finanical analysts meetings to talk up their own rosy prospects. I’m watching Microsoft Steve Ballmer do just that—except for a lengthy aside when he came to the defense of Yahoo CEO Carol Bartz. She’s been roundly criticized for the partnership announced yesterday, in which Yahoo agreed to license all of its search technologies to Microsoft without getting any upfront “boatload of cash” that analysts expected her to walk away with.
Having sat through a day of interviews yesterday with the media (including myself and Rob Hof) and investors to explain the deal, Ballmer insists that “nobody gets it…We can create economic value, that’s going to benefit Yahoo’s shareholders and Microsoft shareholders.”
In fact, he says Bartz brought home a rare freebie, where Yahoo gets to keep 88% of the revenue from its search advertising business for the next few years, with no associated R&D or capital expense. That’s why Yahoo believes it can increase its annual operating income by $500 million over time—a 70% increase for a company that typically makes around $700 million. “It’s kind of unbelievable, really….I’d like to tell you we kept most of the economic value [created by the deal]. But that’s not not what happened. Well over 50% of the economic value goes to Yahoo.”
Of course, he also notes that Yahoo’s benefits from the partnership are front-loaded for the next few years. And while Yahoo may get a financial benefit, Microsoft gets the longer-term, strategic advantage. It’s now the clear No. 2 in the most lucrative, strategic market to come around in decades. That leaves Microsoft with the scale not only to succeed in search, but on the Net generally. Without search-related profits, how is Yahoo going to keep up in the arms race among the big boys to build billion dollar data centers? This is a big deal, that’s gotten lost in the analysis of the last few days.
So try as he might to come to his new partners’ defense, I still think Wall Street got it right. And judging from the continued drop in Yahoo shares today, Ballmer’s arguments aren’t resonating.