Cisco's Bid To Remake the Net for the Video Age

Posted by: Peter Burrows on December 8, 2008

Cisco Systems has dominated its markets for the past fifteen years. But compared with the other great tech companies, the company has always seemed to be more of a beneficiary of mega-trends, than a creator of them. IBM created the computer industry in its image in the 1960s and 1970s. Microsoft and Intel drove the PC revolution in the 1980s and 1990s. Google is leading the way into the cloud computing era. But Cisco? Whether fair or not, the general impression is that it was in the right place at the right time, as the top maker of basic networking gear just as the Net Economy was exploding.

Now, Cisco wants to put its stamp on the next epoch of the Net’s development, with a concept it calls the “MediaNet.” The idea is to meld together a range of technologies and services that will make the Net far better at handling video and other rich media. For many people, video is kind of sideshow on the Net—a medium for watching the occasional YouTube video before getting back to real work. But MediaNet “will make video the natural language of the Internet,” says Cisco senior vice president of emerging technologies Marthin De Beer. “We think this will be as big or bigger than the World Wide Web. This is Web 3.0 we’re talking about here.”


At a high level, MediaNet is a powerful, and necessary, idea. One element in a range of announcements today is a new study that predicts a six-fold increase in Net traffic by 2012—by which time 90% of the bits will be for video rather than the text and images the Web was initially designed for. Of course, Cisco has every reason to set such expectations, since video is a bandwidth hog that could keep the company on a steep growth path for many years to come. (Interestingly, Cisco thinks the vast majority of this video will be of the professional type, rather than user-generated media. By then, Cisco believes Hollywood and other professional content creators will have embraced IP as a more efficient means to reach the world’s consumers, whether delivered straight over the Net to your PC or via your cable or phone carrier's IPTV service).

So what will the MediaNet do? For starters, it will enable the Net to bear the burden of this increased video load. (Here's a CNET piece with their view of the initiative.) But the company also feels video can be delivered in far more useful, entertaining ways. Just as Cisco has built aspects of security, VoIP and other technologies right into its basic networking products, it wants to do the same with promising new technologies such as video search. That way, it would be far easier to not only find a particular video clip (say, of Obama’s inauguration address), but actually find the few seconds you’re interested in (say, Obama’s comments about the Detroit bail-out). Companies would be able to do the same with in-house video content--including, if Cisco has its way, of hours of videoconferencing sessions you're company will be having using its tele-presence systems.

Here's another key part of the vision: Cisco says Moore’s Law has progressed to the point that it can now solve the incompatibility problems that have plagued the Net video world. One job of a new product announced today called the Media Experience Engine will be to automatically handle conversions between data formats, screen sizes and device sizes. That way, a video shot on a Flip video camera would be adjusted within milliseconds to look as good as possible on a 50-inch LCD. Or an HD broadcast of this week's Bears game could be compressed and resized for quick viewing on an iPhone while you're in the cab from the airport. “Everyone is going to have to buy a lot more bandwidth [as the amount of video on the Net increases]," says De Beer. “But the MediaNet answers a different question: how do we make video pervasive and useful, to anyone on any device.” He even foresees the day when businessman from different lands could have videoconferences with instantaneous language translation.

It’s all very sweeping and sexy, which is what makes me skeptical. For now, MediaNet seems to be an overly-broad marketing initiative, large enough to include pretty much any video-related product the company chooses to sell (or acquire; here's a good New York Times piece on new video search offerings). Also, I wonder how Cisco will garner industry support, for a plan that would clearly enhance the company's already dominant position in a host of markets.

And yet that same breadth of influence is why MediaNet just might give Cisco the thought leadership it covets. As the dominant networking provider across all major segments, it has a say over how a movie studio distributes its flicks via the Net; over the wired and wireless networks the phone and cable companies use to get them to their destination; and over the in-home gear consumers will use to receive and watch those movies. As such, Cisco is the only company that can influence the entire online video ecoystem. “Cisco was the inventor of the Internet from a router point of view, and we will be very involved in building the next phase of the Internet and the next generation of Internet experiences,” says De Beer.

So get ready to hear a lot more about the MediaNet, starting with CEO John Chambers’ comments at its annual meeting with Wall Street analysts on Dec. 9. But what’s your hunch? Will this MediaNet idea help Cisco upgrade its reputation from the Internet's top plumber, to one of its key architects? Or will MediaNet be forgotten a year from now--just one more breathless marketing campaign that failed to find traction?

Reader Comments

Rolf Bork

December 9, 2008 3:15 AM

Cisco is the only company that can influence the entire online video ecoystem....MediaNet could be the huge backbone that links next generation high bandwidth residential gateways that all homes and offices will have in the future to be able to use interactive video to all types of applications.
Ciscos big push into the consumer space could also mean that Cisco will even cover the total ecosystem (plus admin services) including the residential gateways while the consumer electronic industry will cluster its devices around that high bandwidth hub that connects the world. The "hub to hub" integration of all systems could actually overcome the huge security and privacy problems facing potential killer apps like video based ehealth services. Cisco could ensure a secure communication that includes the private home access points.

Rolf Bork, BOD mediaf.com & sensitivetech.com

ntopics

December 9, 2008 4:48 AM

This MediaNet transformation sounds a little strange, because most of the information will be seen and heard versus being read. I wonder how long will we need to wait for this transformation to take place.

thanks from tony at:
http://www.ntopics.com

Jim Beals

December 9, 2008 6:53 AM

Cisco should buy an IPTV company like Matrixstream ( www.matrixstream.com ) if it wants to get ahead.

Jim Beals

DJ

December 9, 2008 10:20 AM

they already own Atlanta Scientific and have been rolling out IPTV products for a while now. as far as waiting for the transition we will have to overcome the whole "net neutrality" issue first. if we can convince the carriers and providers that they need to upgrade to be able to handle the increase in bandwidth we would be ok and it could happen rather quick. but i see it as the market will push the carrier. if the market demands it the carriers will be forced to comply.

scott broomfield

December 9, 2008 8:06 PM

We innovators / early adopters of technology have already been working on this. Although we do not have anywhere near the scale of a Cisco, we do have the vision and execution thing down cold. In the future the video itself will be the browser and the HTML will be inside the video, not the other way around. www.veeple.com

PS - by 2012 the amount of video delivered over the web, if put onto DVDs and stacked them, would reach 207,000 into space - almost to the moon. WOW!

Ravi Biradar

December 10, 2008 1:04 AM

IPTV technology is avilable further it can be imhproved, but big question arises is weather it can drive ecosystem i.e. carporates,consumers,law makers/ regulators... everyone seems they know this...leading ecosystem requires lot HUMAN Skills.

Greg Ness

December 10, 2008 8:34 PM

How about the concept of dynamic infrastructure, or Infrastructure 2.0?

http://blogs.cisco.com/datacenter/comments/the_network_the_final_frontier_for_cloud_computing/

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Bloomberg Businessweek writers Peter Burrows, Cliff Edwards, Olga Kharif, Aaron Ricadela, and Douglas MacMillan, dig behind the headlines to analyze what’s really happening throughout the world of technology. Tech Beat covers everything from tech bellwethers like Apple, Google, and Intel and emerging new leaders such as Facebook to new technologies, trends, and controversies.

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