Your house is so underwater you need a submarine to get in the front door

Posted by: Peter Coy on May 06

underwater.jpg
You bought at the peak of the market. You put next to nothing down. (Maybe you even took out one of those 105% LTV loans to cover closing costs.) Now prices are falling, falling, falling, and you are underwater on your mortgage. Deep underwater, where the strange sea creatures dwell.

If it’s any comfort, you are not alone. Here’s what Zillow.com, the real estate website, says today:

“Of homeowners nationwide who purchased when U.S. home values peaked in 2006, one out of every two (51.6%) now owes more on their mortgage than their home is currently worth.”

You’re in better shape if you bought before or after the 2006 peak in prices. Here’s the percentage of homes that are underwater on their mortgages based on when they were bought, according to Zillow:

2003 7%
2004 16%
2005 42%
2006 52%
2007 45%

Las Vegas may look dry, but from the point of view of homeowners, it’s deep underwater. Zillow says that buyers in 2006 posted a median downpayment of just 2%, and since then, home values have fallen 25 percent year-over-year, so 89.9% of homeowners now owe more than their home is worth.

Stockton, Calif., is worse: 95.8%. No wonder it’s known (unofficially of course) as the Foreclosure Capital of the U.S.A.

Check out what these other blogs are saying about the Zillow report:
Housing Prices-Housing Bubble, Zillow’s in-house blog, and the blog at Active Rain by Zillow exec Spencer Rascoff.



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Reader Comments

chris

May 7, 2008 02:56 AM

Same thing happened in Hong Kong years ago. No gov't bailout. People sucked it up and stayed in their home and made the payments. It took about 10 years for it to clear out. Same thing will need to happen in the US.

citracyde

May 7, 2008 08:59 AM

A house should be no more than 3 times your gross income. It's a pretty simple ratio that has stood the test of time.

Poor Richard

May 9, 2008 09:16 AM

Don't measure up with your wallet when your credit is short.

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About

BusinessWeek editors Peter Coy, Dean Foust, Chris Palmeri and Prashant Gopal chronicle the highs and lows of the housing and mortgage markets on their Hot Property blog. In print and online, the Hot Property team first wrote about the potential downside of lenders pushing riskier, "option ARM" mortgages and the rise in mortgage fraud back in 2005—well ahead of many other media outlets. Hot Property was a finalist for "Best Media-Affiliated Business Blog" in the 2007 EPpy Awards, presented by Editor & Publisher and Mediaweek, and was named among the 25 most influential real estate blogs of 2007 by Inman News.

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