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Props to “Wes” on our active “Washington DC bubble” thread for pointing out a neat web site, HousingTracker, that attempts to provide a real-time indicator of housing price trends in 49 leading markets, including Miami, San Francisco and Atlanta. Not content to wait for the quarterly housing reports from the local chapters of the National Association of Realtors, the founder of HousingTracker, 27-year-old New Yorker Ben Engebreth, decided to produce an index for each of these 49 markets using asking prices on the Multiple Listing Service as an early proxy for eventual sale prices (the idea being that asking prices serves as an indicator of how bullish or bearish sellers are). HousingTracker also provides the 25th percentile, 50th percentile, and 75th percentile asking price for the metro areas covered, so you can see whether there’s particular pressure on the high-end and low-end corners of the market. The site also tracks inventory levels, though I’m undecided on whether that indicator is as reliable.
So what does HousingTracker tell us at the moment? …
The median asking price for homes in Washington DC has declined 3.3% in the past three months, while inventories have risen 34%. In San Diego, asking prices are down 7% over past three months, while inventories have risen 357%. And here in my hometown Atlanta (which never really participated in the bubble) prices are up 2.6% in past three months, with inventories down 1.8%.
Admittedly, I can't vouch for the accuracy of the data on a hobby site like this, but the statistics do seem to be consistent with the anecdotal evidence in these markets. Worth a look...
BusinessWeek editors Chris Palmeri, Prashant Gopal and Peter Coy chronicle the highs and lows of the housing and mortgage markets on their Hot Property blog. In print and online, the Hot Property team first wrote about the potential downside of lenders pushing riskier, "option ARM" mortgages and the rise in mortgage fraud back in 2005—well ahead of many other media outlets. In 2008, Hot Property bloggers finished #1 in a ranking of the world's top 100 "most powerful property people" by the British real estate website Global edge. Hot Property was named among the 25 most influential real estate blogs of 2007 by Inman News.