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Listening for the Slightest Whisper

Posted by: Tom Keene on June 16, 2011

Stress in the markets as the VIX goes 18 to 22…the 2-year way sub-.40… and hydrocarbons nudge lower. The key whisper is EUR-CHF…which gave pause early this a.m. with a 1.19 handle…8.5% Swiss appreciation since April.

What to “listen” for? That’s the point. You, and I, never know. We can frame a set of items (data, rhetoric, shocks) but it is always, always something unforeseen. So, I listen to EUR-CHF and understand that the SNB could surprise, but I am humbled by what I don’t know and can’t frame in the near future.

Julian Callow of Barclay’s suggests observe Berlin. The Englander/Anderson tag-team at CitiFX stays strong Swiss/weak Euro.

I am listening for the slightest whisper.


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EconoChat captures Tom Keene's thoughts on economics, finance and investment. He is editor-at-large for Bloomberg News and hosts Bloomberg Surveillance and Bloomberg on the Economy on NYC1130, Sirius 129 and XM 130 and Surveillance Midday on Bloomberg Television. His complete interviews are at Tom Keene on Demand. Look for Tom on twitter @tomkeene

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