Posted by: Michael Mandel on March 01
I’ve just published an article in BW which rounds up a lot of comments about my cover story, Unmasking the Economy, including one person who thinks that I deserve a wedgie (someone else thought I deserved an atomic wedgie, but we won’t go there). I’d be interested in hearing what people think.
Here are the links to some of the comments cited in the story, plus some additional ones.
Athena Alliance: Missing intangibles - Business Week
Brad Setser: Mandel vs. Setser. Round Two. More on Intangible exports and dark matter
The Stalwart: Exports and Intangibles
Brad Delong: What Are America’s Intangible Exports?
CJRDaily:BusinessWeek Has a Big Idea
The Big Picture: BusinessWeek Cover Story: Disingenuous or Denial?
The Big Picture: Dark Matter Revisited
WSJ Online: Is ‘Dark Matter’ in the Deficit?
Ricardo Hausmann: U.S. AND GLOBAL IMBALANCES:CAN DARK MATTER
PREVENT A BIG BANG?
Cafe Hayek: On Americans’ Consumption and Savings
More below:
Angry Bear: Low R&D in the UK: Calling Michael Mandel
Angry Bear: Don’t Fret over Deficits – Creative Accounting to the Rescue
Angry Bear:The Savings Debate: Mandel v. Setser
New Economist: Mandel versus Setser: Intangibles and the US economy
1. US companies may be making these investments, but they aren't necessarily investments in the US. 2. Much of this investment merely counters depreciation.
Still, we really do need to account for these and how they change over time if we want to know where the economy is headed.
Here's a peek at how Microsoft is creating its dark matter:
http://www.komo4.com/stories/42127.htm
Look's more like brown matter to me...hehe.
To Michael Mandel:
Take 28 steps backward to page 26, where Jon Fine notes that producers of L Word are using user input to write the scripts -- at low cost. So, printing thoughtful blog comments achieves the same benefits for Businessweek. We readers like to see what other readers are thinking.
Michael Mandel has done another service to BW readers , along with his other original commentaries on the way the USA measures Productivity. I particularly concur with the need to change the category of education from consumption to investment and have called for this change for many years. Additionally, GNP/GDP need to have asset accounts, rather than the purely "cash flow" approach of today , as a group of statisticians of "sustainability
' and "quality of life" have been arguing for years ( see my editorial for InterPress Service ," Statisticians of the World Unite !" at www.HazelHenderson.com click on Editorials ).
Hopefully, this broader debate about overhauling national accounts can finally begin in the USA as it has been raging all around the world !
I enjoyed your BW article I read yesterday. I'm already a subscriber for life but that article would have convinced me to be if I wasn't already. It was refreshing to see comments and feedback about your article.
In short - you don't deserve a wedgie, although I was laughing when reading that comment.
Good article and great debate you have caused.
None of your critics offered a viable alternative or a viarifable process to measure your metirics. What you did do is create an awareness to review or search for a new varifiable process.
You are moving foward in time while the critics mark time.
I would be interested in your comments on the following article:
http://moneycentral.msn.com/content/P146055.asp
The article discusses the faults in the methods used by the government in its various economic reports. Briefly, it goes into how unemployment could just as easily be reported as 8.4% (rather than 4.7%), and how inflation may be deeply understated thanks to hedonics, among other things. If This is even partially true, it would greatly change the GDP numbers being reported (not to mention explain why the economy and job markets do not "feel" as good as the government's numbers claim).
Looking into the BLS sites I found several government reports on introducing more and more hedonics into the CPI calculations; substitutions that can easily underreport CPI. I also located a report by the New York Federal Reserve that had its doubts about the use of this technique and distortions it may cause. So I know I'm neither mad nor dealing with conspiracy theorists. It's being done, it's causing distortions of SOME sort, and it's being ignored by the popular press and, it seems, mainstream economists.
Why? I can only speculate that mainstream journalists generally have no idea what all these economic numbers mean, or how they're calculated, and just want a nice sound bite. The bull-market cheerleaders at CNBC are the last people to acknowledge a problem. How about economists? Most economists have a vested interest in an economic system they've championed for a century working out; even if it means fudging the numbers.
I would be interested in your opinions on this, and I do believe they have relation to the arguments you're making with Unmasking the Economy.
I found your article cogent and articulately presented. I don't know whether the information is correct or not. The article caused me to think about the issues and provoked a discussion.
The did not feel the same of the responses by your detractors.
Well done!
Michael Mandel, BW's award-winning chief economist, provides his unique perspective on the hot economic issues of the day. From globalization to the future of work to the ups and downs of the financial markets, Mandel-named 2006 economic journalist of the year by the World Leadership Forum-offers cutting edge analysis and commentary.