Posted by: Heather Green on March 02
Once again, we have a war of different third-party data from comScore and Hitwise. Recently Hitwise put out data about how, even after Viacom yanked its clips from YouTube, traffic increased at YouTube the following two weeks in February. comScore doesn’t have its February data yet, but I asked both of them to pull January data and they have very different results.
YouTube’s total number of unique U.S. users only grew 2.6% between December and January, while page views rose 3.5%. Here’s the breakdown:
Total Unique Visitors (in millions)
Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07
19,089 20,759 23,480 25,471 29,597 30,358
18.7% 8.7% 13.1% 8.5% 16.2% 2.6% (change from prior month)
Total Pages Viewed (MM)
Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07
1,055 1,326 1,530 1,578 1,933 2,002
59.7% 25.7% 15.4% 3.1% 22.5% 3.5% (change from prior month)
Hitwise, which doesn’t release unique visitors data found:
From December to January, the percentage of overall Internet visits to Youtube has gone up 33% among all U.S. Internet users or visits.
Clearly we need to dig into the two methodologies, but I wanted to hear from you to know what your experience has been with the two companies data.
Hitwise says the difference is in the methodology and sample size. It partners with ISPs and has a sample size of 10 million folks. comScore says its panel of folks it recruits and tracks is at 2 million.
Sampling panels will NOT work in the mass of niches. You will simply never have a big enough sample to be accurate past a very few sites.
There's no comparison to be made here besides fact that both companies report on web traffic. Only one company here recruits a representative panel and enumerates its data to eliminate sample bias. I believe that this company also reports on over 12,000 sites per month. That sounds like a bit more than "a very few sites".
There is clearly a misunderstanding of how these companies collect and display their data. With Hitwise, they show market SHARE change, not unique volume change. So, while 2.6% of total visitors may be x number of people, this may well be a 30+% change in market share that month. The idea is that if your uniques were flat, you may actually be gaining/losing market share. This is the value hitwise is offering.
I don't know ComScore as well as Hitwise, but I imagine it's the same problem. I'm a Hitwise fan myself, but I'd support ComScore Fan in saying that they both show data on a lot more than just a few sites. In Hitwise there's literally millions anyway.
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