PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

STEEL 10/8 thous. of net tons 1,995 1,990# -0.2

AUTOS 10/8 units 85,623 90,657r# -3.6

TRUCKS 10/8 units 164,545 169,963r# -1.2

ELECTRIC POWER 10/8 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 76,603 76,340# 7.7

CRUDE-OIL REFINING 10/8 thous. of bbl./day 12,080 11,337# -17.7

COAL 10/1 thous. of net tons 21,760# 21,431 0.1

LUMBER 10/1 millions of ft. 391.9# 393.6 3.2

RAIL FREIGHT 10/1 billions of ton-miles 33.4# 33.1 1.2

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison

Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA,

Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 9/30 1992=100 135.1 135.5r 2.7

STOCK PRICES 10/7 S&P 500 1195.9 1228.8 6.6

CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 10/7 5.3% 5.2% -4.5

MONEY SUPPLY, M2 9/26 billions $6,589.2 $6,592.0r 3.5

INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 10/8 thous. 389 391r 13.1

MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 10/8 469.5 473.8 7.6

MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 10/8 2004.9 2107.4 2.9

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed-

eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

GOLD 10/12 $/troy oz. 475.100 463.500 15.5

STEEL SCRAP 10/12 #1 heavy, $/ton 208.00 239.50 -6.2

COPPER 10/7 cents/lb. 191.9 188.6 29.6

ALUMINUM 10/7 cents/lb. 88.9 88.0 -2.8

COTTON 10/7 strict low middling

1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 54.72 54.51 10.4

OIL 10/12 $/bbl. 63.72 62.84 19.0

CRB FOODSTUFFS 10/11 1967=100 244.77 255.93 -3.8

CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 10/11 1967=100 334.95 330.39 5.4

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin,

Platt's Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR

WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 10/12 2.2545 2.2678 2.8425

BRITISH POUND 10/12 1.75 1.76 1.79

CANADIAN DOLLAR 10/12 1.17 1.18 1.26

EUROPEAN EURO 10/12 1.2024 1.1974 1.2348

JAPANESE YEN 10/12 114.38 114.01 109.75

KOREAN WON 10/12 1043.2 1039.5 1147.4

MEXICAN PESO 10/12 10.929 10.717 11.279

TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 10/12 91.4 91.2 92.8

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar,

except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar

via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR

WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 10/11 3.72% 3.75% 1.78%

COMMERCIAL PAPER 10/10 3-month NA NA NA

CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 10/11 3-month 4.08 4.05 2.01

FIXED MORTGAGE 10/7 30-year 6.13 6.05 5.93

ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 10/7 one-year 5.06 4.96 4.07

PRIME 10/11 6.75 6.75 4.75

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing

the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include

machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern

Forest Products Assn. no longer included. Historical data has been adjusted.

3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful