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By Ken Shea and Robert Gold The S&P PowerPicks 2004 portfolio -- representing S&P analysts' top picks for the year -- lagged its benchmark, the S&P 500 index, by a wide margin in July. For the month, the portfolio posted a loss of 7.8%, vs. a decline of 3.3% for the "500", both including dividends.
The portfolio's best performers in July included Indymac Bancorp (NDY
), up 5.1%, Exxon Mobil (XOM
), up 4.3%, ENSCO (ESV
), up 3.5%, Constellation Brands (STZ
), up 2.0%, and and Evergreen Resources (EVG
), up 1.3%.
Unfortunately, gains in those issues were not enough to offset weakness in Intrado (TRDO
), down 34.7% on the month, America West (AWA
, down 33.0%, Mylan Labs (MYL
), down 26.8%, Corinthian Colleges (COCO
), down 24.3%, and Flextronics (FLEX
), down 21.2%.
Year to date through July 31, the portfolio has beaten the "500" in 4 of 7 months, but has trailed its benchmark slightly, down 1.0% on a total return basis, while the "500" was virtually unchanged.
About the S&P PowerPicks 2004 Portfolio
The portfolio represents the collective "best ideas" of the Standard & Poor's equity research staff.
Each of the most senior 40 industry analysts on S&P's equity research staff has chosen one of the stocks they follow as the best-positioned for superior growth. The S&P PowerPicks 2004 Portfolio is diversified across all the 10 S&P economic sectors comprising the S&P 500 index.
The portfolio is a "frozen" one, meaning it will undergo no changes throughout the entire year. The objective of the portfolio is to exceed the total return (capital appreciation plus dividends paid) generated by the S&P 500 index during the next 12 months.
Sector/Company
Ticker
Market Cap $bil.
S&P Earns. & Div. Rank
S&P Index
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
Comcast Class A
CMCSA
71,052
C
500
Fortune Brands
FO
10,091
B-
500
Gannett
GCI
23,755
A
500
La Quinta
LQI
901
C
None
Omnicom
OMC
15,857
A+
500
Quicksilver
ZQK
944
B+
600
Viacom Class B
VIA.B
67,380
B-
500
CONSUMER STAPLES
Constellation Brands
STZ
3,471
B+
400
PepsiCo
PEP
83,262
A
500
Sysco
SYY
23,284
A+
500
ENERGY
ENSCO Intl.
ESV
3,957
B
400
Evergreen Resources
EVG
1,316
B-
600
Exxon Mobil
XOM
243,108
A-
500
FINANCIALS
Bear Stearns
BSC
7,142
A
500
Citigroup
C
240,291
A+
500
Commerce Bancorp
CBH
3,915
A
400
Hartford Financial Services
HIG
16,139
B
500
IndyMac Bancorp
NDE
1,666
B+
400
MBNA
KRB
31,980
A+
500
HEALTH CARE
Caremark Rx
CMX
7,183
B-
None
Hologic
HOLX
317
B-
600
Millennium Pharmaceuticals
MLNM
4,727
NR
400
Mylan Labs
MYL
6,648
A-
400
Triad Hospitals
TRI
2,532
NR
400
INDUSTRIALS
America West Holdings
AWA
424
NR
None
Corinthian Colleges
COCO
2,517
NR
400
Kaydon
KDN
730
A-
600
Landstar
LSTR
1,083
B
600
Manitowoc
MTW
741
B
600
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
Analog Devices
ADI
17,322
B
500
Automatic Data Processing
ADP
23,099
A+
500
Cadence Design Systems
CDN
4,600
B-
400
Flextronics
FLEX
7,715
NR
None
IBM Corp.
IBM
155,900
B
500
Intrado
TRDO
1,083
NR
None
Open Text
OTEX
788
NR
None
MATERIALS
Smurfit-Stone Container
SSCC
4,486
B-
None
Sealed Air
SEE
4,517
NR
500
TELECOM SERVICES
Nextel Partners
NXTP
2,951
NR
None
UTILITIES
Reliant Resources
RRI
1,815
NR
None
For more on the S&P PowerPicks 2004 portfolio, please visit
http://www.businessweek.com/investor/content/dec2003/pi20031226_5517_pi071.htm Shea is director of global equity research, and Gold a senior portfolio group analyst, for Standard & Poor's Equity Research