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By Ken Shea The S&P PowerPicks 2003 portfolio -- representing S&P analysts' top picks for the year -- outperformed its benchmark, the S&P 500 index, once more in March. The portfolio gained 1.1% on the month, vs. the index's rise of 0.8%. Year to date through Mar. 31, the portfolio's performance was also ahead of the "500", at 2.1% vs. -3.6%.
Among the top performers in the portfolio in March: consumer-related stocks such as Quiksilver (+22%) and P.F. Chang's (+12%). Gains in these issues more than offset big drops in technology issues Microchip Technology (-22%) and Sybase (-12%).
Year to date through Mar. 31, 24 stocks beat the "500", while 16 did not.
About the S&P PowerPicks 2003 Portfolio
The portfolio represents the collective "best ideas" of the Standard & Poor's equity research staff.
Each of the 35 industry analysts on S&P's equity research staff has chosen one of the stocks they follow as the best-positioned for superior growth. The S&P PowerPicks 2002 Portfolio is diversified across all the 10 S&P economic sectors comprising the S&P 500 index.
The portfolio is a "frozen" one, meaning that it will undergo no changes throughout the entire year. The objective of the portfolio is to exceed the total return (capital appreciation plus dividends paid) generated by the S&P 500 during the year.
Sector/Company
Market Cap $bil.
Investment Rationale
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY
Lear
2.3
Favorable shift in product mix, low valuation
Newell Rubbermaid
8.3
New CEO, better vendor relations
News Corp.
44.1
Prospects for improved ad market
P.F. Chang's
0.9
Exceptional growth characteristics
Quiksilver
0.6
Market share gains, margin improvements
Toys "R" Us
2.6
Free cash flow and p-e should grow
Wal-Mart
223.1
Continued market share gains, strong growth
CONSUMER STAPLES
Kraft Foods
68.6
Defensive appeal, superior prospects
Sysco
19.7
Positive sales trend continue
ENERGY
Apache
8.4
Shares attractively valued
Nabors Industries
5.5
Natural-gas activity rising
Questar
2.2
EPS growth to 2005 beats peers
FINANCIALS
Chelsea Property
1.3
Stronger earnings growth
Citigroup
182.0
Shares trading at a big discount to historical valuation
IndyMac
1.0
Attractively valued
Lehman Bros.
12.9
Strong franchise, undervalued, takeover candidate
MetLife
19.7
Restructuring initiatives
Moody's
6.3
Strong free cash flow and profit margins
National Commerce Financial
4.9
Strong market demographics
HEALTH CARE
Amgen
64.8
Undervalued vs. peers, with less risk
Boston Scientific
17.0
Explosive growth prospects
Cardinal Health
27.6
Strong performance expected from all business segments
Dentsply International
2.9
Attractive valuation
Invitrogen
1.6
Expect 10% growth over the long term
Lilly (Eli)
72.4
Unmatched product pipeline
INDUSTRIALS
Corinthian Colleges
1.6
Growing market share of for-profit institutions
FedEx
15.5
Stock attractively valued
Jacobs Engineering
2.0
Strong bookings from refining market
Precision Castparts
1.3
Potential upturn in aircraft manufacturing
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
Affiliated Computer Services
6.4
Solid defensive play in current market
Cisco Systems
96.8
More market-share gains likely
Microchip Technology
5.0
Pure play in microcontroller chips
Nokia
78.6
Leading market position
Overture Services
1.7
Good fundamentals, attractive valuation
Sybase
1.2
Valuation, balance sheet, strong management
Synopsys
3.3
Potential upturn in electronics markets
MATERIALS
IMC Global
1.3
Poised to benefit from industry rebound
Nucor
3.3
Attractive valuation
TELECOM SERVICES
ALLTEL
15.9
Solid EPS quality, stable balance sheet
UTILITIES
Entergy
10.1
Earnings growth above peers
For more on the S&P PowerPicks 2003 portfolio, please visit
http://www.businessweek.com/investor/content/dec2002/pi20021231_4149.htm Shea is director of global equity research for Standard & Poor's