) to trading buy from market perform.
Analyst Chris Cox says non-seasonal Q4 results were in line with estimates. He says although Six Flags has had a history of earnings per share shortfalls and while the weather always remains a wild card, he believes management's 7%-8% 2002 EBITDA growth guidance appears increasingly reasonable. He cited improving economic conditions, positive early pre-season sales, strategic changes at international parks, and higher comparable sales against the fall-off after September 11. Cox believes the risk/reward will be the greatest over the next several months, given Six Flag's historical trading patterns. He has a $18.50 target.