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Business Week Index: The Week Ahead


Business Week Index: THE WEEK AHEAD

BusinessWeek Index: THE WEEK AHEAD

INSTALLMENT CREDIT

Monday, July 10 -- Consumers probably added about $8 billion to their debt

levels in May. That would be down from the huge $11 billion increase in April.

Slower retail sales in May suggest that consumers have started to trim their

borrowings.

PRODUCER PRICE INDEX

Thursday, July 13, 8:30 a.m. -- Producer prices of finished goods likely rose

a modest 0.2% in June after no change in May, according to the median forecast

of economists surveyed by MMS International, one of the McGraw-Hill Cos.

Gasoline probably led the increase. Excluding food and energy, core producer

prices are expected to have risen by 0.3%, the same advance as in May.

CONSUMER PRICE INDEX

Friday, July, 14, 8:30 a.m. -- Consumer prices probably rose 0.3% in June,

the same gain as in May, forecasts the MMS survey. Excluding food and energy,

prices were probably also up 0.3%, up from a 0.2% rise in May. Apparel prices,

which have not increased since January, may have bounced back a bit in June.

RETAIL SALES

Friday, July 14, 8:30 a.m. -- Retail sales probably increased by 0.5% in

June. That's suggested by the weekly reports from retailers and by the rise in

motor-vehicle sales. Store receipts edged up just 0.2% in May after falling

0.3% in April.

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION

Friday, July, 14, 9:15 a.m. -- Output at factories, mines, and utilities

probably rose 0.1% in June, says the MMS survey. That's suggested by the

lackluster data on industrial activity reported by the National Association of

Purchasing Management. Output has fallen for three consecutive months,

including a 0.2% decline in May. As a result, capacity is now much looser.

Operating rates probably fell to 83.5% in June from 83.7% in May. In January,

the rate was a high 85.5%.


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