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Business Week Index

BusinessWeek Index

PRODUCTION AND LEADING INDEXES

The production index fell slightly during the week ended Jan. 21. But before

calculation of the four-week moving average, the index increased to 121.9, from

121.4. Higher lumber and coal production lifted the index.

The leading index posted a solid increase in the latest week. The unaveraged

index also gained ground, reflecting higher stock prices, fewer large-business

failures, and a faster growth rate in M2.

BW production index copyright 1994 Bloomberg L.P.

BW leading index copyright 1994 by CIBCR

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

STEEL (1/28) thous. of net tons 2,001 1,991# 12.4

AUTOS (1/28) units 132,344 113,310r# -12.8

TRUCKS (1/28) units 114,965 91,028r# -9.9

ELECTRIC POWER (1/28)

millions of kilowatt-hrs. 62,932 59,187# 3.2

CRUDE-OIL REFINING (1/28)

thous. of bbl./day 13,404 13,553# 3.0

COAL (1/21) thous. of net tons 21,939# 21,731 42.4

PAPERBOARD (1/21) thous. of tons NA NA NA

PAPER (1/21) thous. of tons NA NA NA

LUMBER (1/21) millions of ft. 479.6# 464.6 1.7

RAIL FREIGHT (1/21) billions of ton-miles 24.0# 24.2 32.6

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison

Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., American Forest

& Paper Association, WWPA1, SFPA2, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

STOCK PRICES (1/27) S&P 500 467.56 468.18 -1.4

CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa (1/27) 8.49% 8.44% 22.9

INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES (1/27) 114.5 114.0 NA*

BUSINESS FAILURES (1/20) 266 299 -8.9

REAL ESTATE LOANS (1/18) billions $463.3 $462.4r 10.5

MONEY SUPPLY, M2 (1/16) billions $3,580.8 $3,572.7r 1.4

INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT (1/14) thous. 325 354 -11.0

Sources: Center for International Business Cycle Research (CIBCR), Standard &

Poor's, Moody's, Journal of Commerce (index: 1990=100), Dun & Bradstreet

(failures of large companies), Federal Reserve, Labor Dept. CIBCR seasonally

adjusts data on business failures and real estate loans. *Historical data

available from CIBCR.

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

GOLD (2/1) $/troy oz. 376.250 381.450 -1.3

STEEL SCRAP (1/31) #1 heavy, $/ton 147.00 147.00 5.4

COPPER (1/28) cents/lb. 146.0 145.5 61.7

ALUMINUM (1/28) cents/lb. 104.0 100.5 79.3

COTTON (1/28) strict low middling

1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 89.29 88.44 28.7

OIL (1/31) $/bbl. 18.46 18.66 15.0

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Chicago market, Metals Week, Memphis

market, NYMEX

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR

WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS (2/1) 6.00% 5.45% 3.17%

COMMERCIAL PAPER (1/31) 3-month 6.24 6.26 3.20

CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT (2/1) 3-month 6.23 6.27 3.20

FIXED MORTGAGE (1/27) 30-year 9.32 9.25 7.08

ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE (1/27) one-year 6.83 6.90 4.22

PRIME (2/1) 9.00 8.50 6.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Reuters Holdings PLC

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR

WEEK AGO AGO

JAPANESE YEN (2/1) 99.46 99.71 108.44

GERMAN MARK (2/1) 1.52 1.52 1.74

BRITISH POUND (2/1) 1.58 1.59 1.49

FRENCH FRANC (2/1) 5.28 5.26 5.91

ITALIAN LIRA (2/1) 1609.0 1599.0 1690.5

CANADIAN DOLLAR (2/1) 1.41 1.42 1.33

MEXICAN PESO (2/1)3 5.500 5.755 3.103

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar,

except for British pound in dollars

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the

BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery

and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest

Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not

meaningful


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