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Business Week Index


Business Week Index

BusinessWeek Index

PRODUCTION AND LEADING INDEXES

The production index was unchanged during the week ended Jan. 14. Increases in

the seasonally adjusted output of electric power and lumber offset output

declines in autos and trucks. Before calculation of the four-week moving

average, the index edged up to 121.4, from 121.

The leading index rose in the latest week, lifted by stronger growth in real

estate loans. The unaveraged index also increased, to 256.2, from 253.5.

BW production index copyright 1994 Bloomberg L.P.

BW leading index copyright 1994 by CIBCR

PRODUCTION INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

STEEL (1/21) thous. of net tons 1,991 2,035# 17.2

AUTOS (1/21) units 114,987 130,581r# 36.6

TRUCKS (1/21) units 92,365 102,933r# 42.5

ELECTRIC POWER (1/21)

millions of kilowatt-hrs. 59,187 60,590# -12.6

CRUDE-OIL REFINING (1/21)

thous. of bbl./day 13,553 13,847# 2.0

COAL (1/14) thous. of net tons 21,731# 17,702 10.3

PAPERBOARD (1/14) thous. of tons NA NA NA

PAPER (1/14) thous. of tons NA NA NA

LUMBER (1/14) millions of ft. 464.6# 364.5 -7.1

RAIL FREIGHT (1/14)

billions of ton-miles 24.2# 19.5 8.5

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison

Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., American Forest

& Paper Association, WWPA1, SFPA2, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

STOCK PRICES (1/20) S&P 500 468.18 462.36 -1.3

CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa (1/20) 8.44% 8.46% 22.0

INDUSTRIAL MATERIALS PRICES (1/20) 114.0 113.5r NA*

BUSINESS FAILURES (1/13) 299 384 9.9

REAL ESTATE LOANS (1/11) billions $462.6 $459.8 10.3

MONEY SUPPLY, M2 (1/9) billions $3,571.8 $3,570.9r 1.1

INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT (1/7) thous. 354 338 -0.8

Sources: Center for International Business Cycle Research (CIBCR), Standard &

Poor's, Moody's, Journal of Commerce (index: 1990=100), Dun & Bradstreet

(failures of large companies), Federal Reserve, Labor Dept. CIBCR seasonally

adjusts data on business failures and real estate loans. *Historical data

available from CIBCR.

PRICES

LATEST WEEK YEARLY

WEEK AGO % CHG

GOLD (1/25) $/troy oz. 381.450 382.600 -0.7

STEEL SCRAP (1/24) #1 heavy, $/ton 147.00 147.00 5.4

COPPER (1/21) cents/lb. 145.5 144.0 62.0

ALUMINUM (1/21) cents/lb. 100.5 98.0 73.3

COTTON (1/21) strict

low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 88.44 87.34 34.3

OIL (1/24) $/bbl. 18.66 18.35 20.8

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Chicago market, Metals Week, Memphis

market, NYMEX

INTEREST RATES

LATEST WEEK YEAR

WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS (1/24) 5.45% 5.69% 2.97%

COMMERCIAL PAPER (1/25) 3-month 6.26 6.09 3.15

CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT (1/25) 3-month 6.27 6.22 3.12

FIXED MORTGAGE (1/20) 30-year 9.25 9.35 7.14

ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE (1/20) one-year 6.90 6.88 4.24

PRIME (1/25) 8.50 8.50 6.00

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Reuters Holdings PLC

FOREIGN EXCHANGE

LATEST WEEK YEAR

WEEK AGO AGO

JAPANESE YEN (1/25) 99.71 99.52 109.16

GERMAN MARK (1/25) 1.52 1.53 1.73

BRITISH POUND (1/25) 1.59 1.57 1.50

FRENCH FRANC (1/25) 5.26 5.29 5.90

ITALIAN LIRA (1/25) 1599.0 1616.5 1695.3

CANADIAN DOLLAR (1/25) 1.42 1.42 1.32

MEXICAN PESO (1/25)3 5.755 5.300 3.104

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar,

except for British pound in dollars

#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the

BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery

and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest

Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not

meaningful


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