Bloomberg News

S&P 500 Stocks With Biggest Gap Between Market Price, Estimate

February 22, 2013

The following table shows the companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) with the biggest gaps between their stock price and analysts’ average price estimates as of Feb. 22.

The average estimate (IBM:US) is based on data compiled by Bloomberg and reflects forecasts for the next 12 months, a period that varies among brokerage firms. Only companies that have at least four analyst target prices are included.

Positive Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
NFX   NEWFIELD EXPLOR       48.6     18     24.80     36.84    -42.18
BTU   PEABODY ENERGY        44.5     19     22.56     32.60    -35.47
NEM   NEWMONT MINING        38.5     15     40.99     56.76    -32.23
AAPL  APPLE INC             36.7     44    448.62    613.40    -12.08
CLF   CLIFFS NATURAL        36.3     14     26.46     36.06    -57.45
APA   APACHE CORP           33.6     24     75.08    100.31    -31.16
JBL   JABIL CIRCUIT         32.6      8     19.00     25.20    -26.25
COH   COACH INC             31.6     28     46.80     61.58    -34.76
DVN   DEVON ENERGY CO       31.0     23     54.73     71.68    -26.07
ALXN  ALEXION PHARM         30.6     15     87.27    113.94      6.69
APC   ANADARKO PETROL       28.2     25     81.14    104.00     -5.98
QEP   QEP RESOURCES I       28.1     13     30.27     38.77     -9.16
WPX   WPX ENERGY            28.0      8     14.73     18.86    -23.27
ATI   ALLEGHENY TECH        28.0      8     30.87     39.50    -29.81
DF    DEAN FOODS CO         27.9      8     15.89     20.32     31.13
FCX   FREEPORT-MCMORA       27.5     14     31.98     40.77    -23.84
EMC   EMC CORP/MA           27.4     33     23.47     29.91    -14.09
NOV   NATL OILWELL VA       27.3     26     67.05     85.39    -20.52
FTR   FRONTIER COMMUN       26.7      7      4.04      5.12     -4.53
CNX   CONSOL ENERGY         25.9     20     32.45     40.86    -11.33
COF   CAPITAL ONE FIN       25.5     23     52.09     65.40      7.68
NE    NOBLE CORP            25.1     31     36.65     45.84     -3.63
DNR   DENBURY RESOURC       24.6     15     18.11     22.56     -9.57
MHP   MCGRAW-HILL COS       23.4      7     45.97     56.71      7.28
CAT   CATERPILLAR INC       23.3     18     91.34    112.65    -18.61
GT    GOODYEAR TIRE         23.2      5     13.39     16.50      0.37
GPS   GAP INC/THE           23.2     21     31.67     39.02     42.77
MET   METLIFE INC           23.0     16     35.60     43.79     -6.35
TWC   TIME WARNER CAB       22.6     22     84.95    104.13     13.53
PRU   PRUDENTL FINL         22.3     15     55.67     68.06     -7.24
BBBY  BED BATH &BEYON       22.1     20     57.58     70.30     -2.90
GRMN  GARMIN LTD            21.9      6     34.94     42.60    -18.29
UNH   UNITEDHEALTH GR       21.9     15     54.47     66.38      1.31
LSI   LSI CORP              21.6     14      7.06      8.58    -15.47
MU    MICRON TECH           21.3     21      7.85      9.52     -6.46
TDC   TERADATA CORP         21.2     16     62.47     75.72     -1.03
LTD   LIMITED BRANDS        21.2     17     43.06     52.18      5.68
F     FORD MOTOR CO         21.0     15     12.41     15.02      1.05
JOY   JOY GLOBAL INC        21.0     18     62.60     75.74    -29.45
RHT   RED HAT INC           20.8     22     51.13     61.78      7.13
PKI   PERKINELMER INC       20.5     10     33.09     39.88     25.29
AMZN  AMAZON.COM INC        20.3     28    263.73    317.35     45.91
OXY   OCCIDENTAL PETE       20.3     18     83.56    100.50    -18.04
CHRW  CH ROBINSON           20.2     14     58.15     69.91    -11.07
CCL   CARNIVAL CORP         20.2     13     35.00     42.08     20.96
EQT   EQT CORP              20.2     11     59.42     71.42     13.67
WYNN  WYNN RESORTS LT       20.2     22    115.79    139.16      5.62
ANF   ABERCROMBIE & F       19.9     19     45.87     55.00      4.03
AES   AES CORP              19.9      5     11.12     13.33    -19.14
ACT   ACTAVIS INC           19.6     14     83.01     99.31     42.24
HAL   HALLIBURTON CO        19.6     25     40.78     48.78     11.33

Negative Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
NFLX  NETFLIX INC          -31.7     23    182.43    124.53     59.41
JCP   J.C. PENNEY CO       -18.2     15     22.57     18.47    -47.59
FSLR  FIRST SOLAR INC      -16.4     12     34.08     28.50    -18.81
HPQ   HEWLETT-PACKARD      -13.8     15     18.70     16.12    -40.09
BBY   BEST BUY CO INC      -10.7     16     17.00     15.18    -30.16
VRSN  VERISIGN INC          -9.7      8     45.84     41.39     21.38
SYY   SYSCO CORP            -9.3      7     32.65     29.63     15.21
SWY   SAFEWAY INC           -8.9     15     22.59     20.59      5.93
CINF  CINCINNATI FIN        -7.3      6     44.94     41.67     29.18
AIZ   ASSURANT INC          -6.4      5     41.45     38.80     -5.01
KMB   KIMBERLY-CLARK        -5.5     13     93.56     88.40     33.52
ETFC  E*TRADE FINANCI       -5.3     14     10.72     10.15     13.47
HAS   HASBRO INC            -5.3      5     40.97     38.80     19.96
EA    ELECTRONIC ARTS       -5.2     19     17.73     16.81      2.44
HRB   H&R BLOCK INC         -5.1      6     24.61     23.36     58.20
NYX   NYSE EURONEXT         -5.1     15     37.41     35.51     31.30
PGR   PROGRESSIVE COR       -4.8     12     24.69     23.50     20.16
PLL   PALL CORP             -4.5      6     67.71     64.67      7.34
TXN   TEXAS INSTRUMEN       -4.5     30     33.94     32.43      0.08
FAST  FASTENAL CO           -3.9      6     51.53     49.50      2.82
LM    LEGG MASON INC        -3.6     12     28.02     27.00      4.24
CTAS  CINTAS CORP           -3.6      5     43.99     42.40     14.91
COG   CABOT OIL & GAS       -3.4     19     58.19     56.24     49.84
CLX   CLOROX CO             -2.9     10     83.00     80.58     25.90
PLD   PROLOGIS INC          -2.7      6     39.24     38.17     19.05
SCHW  SCHWAB (CHARLES       -2.7     15     16.72     16.27     29.81
HCN   HEALTH CARE REI       -2.7      7     64.57     62.83     24.22
NDAQ  NASDAQ OMX GROU       -2.7     15     31.24     30.41     18.45
PBCT  PEOPLE’S UNITED       -2.6     13     12.91     12.57      6.58
LLTC  LINEAR TECH COR       -2.6     18     37.91     36.92     14.54
PNW   PINNACLE WEST         -2.6      6     55.25     53.81     19.98
HNZ   HJ HEINZ CO           -2.5     10     72.45     70.63     39.62
CPB   CAMPBELL SOUP C       -2.5     10     40.00     39.00     25.12
MKC   MCCORMICK-N/V         -2.4     11     65.87     64.27     32.89
BMY   BRISTOL-MYER SQ       -2.4     13     36.79     35.91     18.20
NTRS  NORTHERN TRUST        -2.3     18     53.12     51.88     23.28
CSC   COMPUTER SCIENC       -2.3     10     47.13     46.05     51.17
CVH   COVENTRY HEALTH       -2.2      8     45.68     44.67     41.37
HCP   HCP INC               -2.2      7     48.61     47.56     28.21
PSA   PUBLIC STORAGE        -2.1      9    153.14    150.00     14.56
GIS   GENERAL MILLS I       -2.0     14     45.43     44.50     22.48
BMS   BEMIS CO              -2.0      7     37.25     36.50     20.08
SCG   SCANA CORP            -1.9      4     48.92     48.00     13.02
PEG   PUB SERV ENTERP       -1.8     12     31.90     31.32      7.48
HSP   HOSPIRA INC           -1.8      6     29.68     29.14    -19.41
HRL   HORMEL FOODS CR       -1.8      7     37.02     36.36     27.93
MSI   MOTOROLA SOLUTI       -1.8     11     61.55     60.46     24.37
CMA   COMERICA INC          -1.7     25     34.31     33.74     11.26
DNB   DUN & BRADSTREE       -1.5      6     81.25     80.00      3.47
D     DOMINION RES/VA       -1.5     13     56.12     55.30     15.72
KR    KROGER CO             -1.4     19     28.70     28.29     23.35

To contact the reporter on this story: Wendy Soong in New York at csoong@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at at atanzi@bloomberg.net


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Companies Mentioned

  • IBM
    (International Business Machines Corp)
    • $191.83 USD
    • 1.73
    • 0.9%
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