Taiwan’s dollar rose to the strongest level in almost eight weeks as an expansion in U.S. factory output added to optimism the global economic recovery is gaining traction, boosting the outlook for the island’s exports.
The Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing index climbed to 50.7 in December from a three-year low of 49.5 in November, the Tempe, Arizona-based group reported yesterday. Data due on Jan. 7 may show Taiwan’s overseas shipments increased 4.7 percent last month from a year earlier, up from 0.9 percent in November, according to the median estimate of economists in a Bloomberg survey.
“Sentiment over the economic outlook of the U.S. has improved,” said Tarsicio Tong, a Taipei-based foreign-exchange trader at Union Bank of Taiwan. (2838) “But I think we still need a few months to see whether Taiwan’s exports have bounced back.”
The Taiwan dollar gained 0.4 percent to NT$28.988 against its U.S. counterpart as of 10:16 a.m. local time, according to Taipei Forex Inc. It touched NT$28.978 earlier, the strongest level since Nov. 12.
One-month implied volatility in the Taiwan dollar, a gauge of expected moves in exchange rates used to price options, fell eight basis points to 3.15 percent.
The monetary authority has bought the greenback to counter gains in the island’s currency on most days in the past nine months, according to traders who asked not to be identified. The central bank’s mandate is to keep relative exchange-rate stability and to intervene in the event of abnormal moves, Governor Perng Fai-Nan said on Dec. 19.
The U.S. Congress passed a bill that averts automatic spending cuts and tax increases that threatened to push the world’s largest economy into recession, while China reported today that its services industries expanded at the fastest pace in four months.
Global funds bought $234 million more Taiwanese stocks than they sold yesterday, adding to $4.9 billion of inflows in 2012.
Government bonds were little changed. The yield on the 1.125 percent notes due September 2022 held at 1.158 percent, according to Gretai Securities Market. The overnight interbank lending rate was steady at 0.389 percent, a weighted average compiled by the Taiwan Interbank Money Center shows.
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