Bloomberg News

Obama Finds Mideast Can’t Be Ignored During Asia Trip

November 20, 2012

The Middle East once again reordered administration priorities as President Barack Obama’s intent to reassert U.S. influence in Asia was overshadowed by an escalating conflict between Israel and the Palestinians.

Obama’s three-day Asia trip, his first since winning re- election, included historic visits to Myanmar and Cambodia and a summit of Southeast Asian leaders.

Yet his most urgent conversations were those he had by telephone with Egyptian President Mohamed Mursi and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as rocket attacks on Israel by Palestinian militants and the Jewish nation’s response threatened to spiral into further violence.

“The Middle East has a way of derailing other presidential foreign policy agendas and forcing its way onto the world stage,” said Daniel Byman, a professor in the School of Foreign Service at Georgetown University in Washington. “Other recent presidents have tried to downplay the Middle East, but all found themselves heavily involved one way or another despite their efforts.”

As he has wound down the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, Obama has made explicit his goal to shift U.S. focus to the Asia-Pacific region, which accounted for 60 percent, or $895 billion worth, of total U.S. goods exports. The outreach is spurred by the rising commercial importance of Pacific Rim nations as well as the expanding military and economic power of China, the world’s biggest economy after the U.S.

While Obama’s public schedule kept to the agenda of trade and encouraging the expansion of economic and political freedom, behind the scenes the Middle East was at the forefront.

Obama Advisers

Moments after he visited Myanmar’s opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi on Nov. 19, Obama met with Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and National Security Adviser Tom Donilon at the U.S. embassy in Myanmar for a briefing on the fighting between Israel and Palestinian groups in the Gaza Strip.

Throughout the trip, Obama, Clinton and Donilon were in contact with their counterparts in other capitals.

After arriving in Phnom Penh, Cambodia, and meeting with leaders of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, Obama called Mursi at 11:30 p.m. local time on Nov. 19 to press him on getting Hamas to stop firing rockets into Israel. Within 24 hours he spoke with the Egyptian leader twice more, including aboard Air Force One as he began the flight back to the U.S.

The fighting also is a crucial test of whether the U.S. can count on Mursi to uphold Egypt’s alliance with the U.S. Mursi said that international efforts to end the week-long conflict will result in a cease-fire, and a Hamas official, Osama Hamdan, said it would take effect at midnight local time.

Oil Falls

Oil fell from a one-month high in New York on reports of a possible cease-fire and Clinton’s trip. Crude oil for January delivery declined $2.95, or 3.3 percent, to $86.33 a barrel at 1:27 p.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Prices surged 2.7 percent yesterday as the conflict escalated.

Countries in the Middle East and North Africa accounted for 36 percent of global oil production and held 52 percent of proved reserves in 2011, according to BP Plc (BP/)’s Statistical Review of World Energy.

In their last phone conversation, Obama commended Mursi for “his efforts at de-escalation,” Ben Rhodes, Obama’s deputy national security adviser, told reporters traveling with the president. While the U.S. views Mursi as “sincere” in his desire to quell the conflict, “We also understand that Gaza is an extraordinary challenge,” Rhodes said.

Obama also spoke with Netanyahu, and the White House repeated statements of support for Israel’s right to defend itself and setting the blame for the conflict on Hamas firing rockets at Israeli cities.

Clinton’s Trip

Hours before leaving Cambodia, his final stop, Obama dispatched Clinton on an emergency mission to the Mideast with stops in Jerusalem, Ramallah and Cairo.

Separately, the U.S. Navy’s 6th Fleet commander in Europe is extending deployment in the Eastern Mediterranean of the 4,000-person 24th Marine Expeditionary Unit and its three amphibious warfare vessels just as it was transiting the region on the way to the U.S., said Lieutenant Commander Chris Servello, a Navy spokesman.

The decision is a “prudent measure allowing” the unit “to be positioned for any contingency,” Servello said in a telephone interview. The unit will stay in the area “until further notice,” Servello said.

No Escape

Jonathan Pollack, an Asia expert at the John L. Thornton China Center at the Brookings Institution in Washington, said Clinton’s decision to leave the Asian summit to address the Gaza crisis underscores the difficulty in promising a “pivot” or “rebalance” of forces toward the Pacific.

“This shows you the absolute liability of defining a strategy by a bumper sticker,” Pollack said. “There is no easy escape or exit from the Middle East.”

Over the long term, Asia is more central to U.S. policy, according to Michael Mandelbaum, a professor at Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies in Washington.

“That’s where the economic growth is going to come from,” Mandelbaum said. “That’s where the danger of a truly disastrous war looms, one that could involve China.”

The diversion of the president’s attention from Asia to the Middle East is “a case of the urgent driving out the important,” he said.

To contact the reporters on this story: Hans Nichols in Phonm Penh, Cambodia, at hnichols2@bloomberg.net; Margaret Talev in Phonm Penh, Cambodia, at mtalev@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Steven Komarow at skomarow1@bloomberg.net


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