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International pledges to reduce greenhouse gases may fail to stop global warming from rising to twice the level deemed safe by United Nations scientists, Climate Action Tracker said.
Without further action to lower emissions of heat-trapping gases, the planet is set to warm by 2.6 to 4.1 degrees Celsius, the project, run by three European research groups, said today in a report released in Bangkok, where the UN is holding a week of informal discussions.
That level of warming exceeds the 2-degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) ceiling that UN envoys have set as a global goal. That target is technically achievable, and it’s up to politicians to ensure it’s met, said Bill Hare, director of Climate Analytics, one of the groups that set up the project.
“It is a question of political will, not technological feasibility, as to whether 2 degrees Celsius is out the window,” Hare said in the statement.
Aside from Climate Analytics in Potsdam, Germany, the tracker is run by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and Ecofys, a consultant with offices in the U.S., China, Germany, the U.K. and the Netherlands.
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