Bloomberg News

S&P 500 Stocks With Biggest Gap Between Market Price, Estimate

July 13, 2012

The following table shows the companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) with the biggest gaps between their stock price and analysts’ average price estimates as of July 13.

The average estimate (IBM:US) is based on data compiled by Bloomberg and reflects forecasts for the next 12 months, a period that varies among brokerage firms. Only companies that have at least four analyst target prices are included.

Positive Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
ANR   ALPHA NATURAL R      156.7     20      7.56     19.41    -82.87
ATI   ALLEGHENY TECH        85.7      8     31.36     58.25    -47.61
BTU   PEABODY ENERGY        81.7     20     22.43     40.76    -61.15
LSI   LSI CORP              75.5     13      5.83     10.23    -14.49
DNR   DENBURY RESOURC       75.1     13     13.75     24.08    -27.07
NBR   NABORS INDS LTD       71.2     16     13.11     22.45    -45.05
CLF   CLIFFS NATURAL        70.9     14     45.81     78.29    -51.21
JDSU  JDS UNIPHASE          65.6      9      8.77     14.53    -39.92
R     RYDER SYSTEM IN       65.2     11     34.22     56.55    -39.48
MU    MICRON TECH           64.9     23      6.07     10.01    -16.14
JOY   JOY GLOBAL INC        64.1     13     49.65     81.46    -47.35
HES   HESS CORP             62.5     10     42.96     69.82    -39.88
EA    ELECTRONIC ARTS       60.8     20     11.66     18.75    -52.05
TER   TERADYNE INC          60.1      7     13.22     21.17     -5.02
GNW   GENWORTH FINANC       57.9      6      5.12      8.08    -47.68
FLR   FLUOR CORP            57.6     17     47.08     74.19    -27.34
GT    GOODYEAR TIRE         57.5      4     10.16     16.00    -40.29
GME   GAMESTOP CORP-A       55.4     15     16.75     26.02    -30.08
FSLR  FIRST SOLAR INC       55.1     24     13.94     21.63    -88.70
MET   METLIFE INC           53.9     13     30.37     46.73    -26.40
HIG   HARTFORD FINL S       53.4      9     16.69     25.60    -34.57
FOSL  FOSSIL INC            53.3     10     68.19    104.55    -47.18
F     FORD MOTOR CO         53.2      9      9.25     14.17    -29.82
FCX   FREEPORT-MCMORA       51.5     17     32.76     49.63    -37.98
C     CITIGROUP INC         51.0     20     26.02     39.30    -35.22
APC   ANADARKO PETROL       49.5     25     68.28    102.08    -10.55
DVN   DEVON ENERGY CO       49.1     23     55.16     82.26    -28.91
CAT   CATERPILLAR INC       48.9     14     80.74    120.24    -24.14
HAL   HALLIBURTON CO        47.9     21     28.61     42.32    -45.04
PXD   PIONEER NATURAL       47.6     24     84.59    124.86     -3.90
CAM   CAMERON INTERNA       47.1     17     43.19     63.55    -14.25
ETN   EATON CORP            46.4     15     37.92     55.53    -25.62
QEP   QEP RESOURCES I       46.0     12     28.25     41.25    -29.58
FFIV  F5 NETWORKS           45.6     34     91.83    133.72    -15.34
MRO   MARATHON OIL          45.1     12     24.50     35.54    -21.24
WYNN  WYNN RESORTS LT       44.5     19     95.59    138.09    -34.52
NFX   NEWFIELD EXPLOR       44.2     19     29.92     43.15    -57.04
HPQ   HEWLETT-PACKARD       44.1     20     18.89     27.22    -43.98
JCP   J.C. PENNEY CO        44.1     11     20.13     29.00    -36.38
ANF   ABERCROMBIE & F       43.8     21     34.74     49.96    -52.48
LRCX  LAM RESEARCH          42.8     11     34.05     48.62    -20.79
JCI   JOHNSON CONTROL       42.6     21     27.27     38.88    -33.77
NEM   NEWMONT MINING        42.2     14     46.00     65.41    -15.90
APA   APACHE CORP           42.2     23     82.90    117.88    -31.17
COH   COACH INC             41.8     22     56.80     80.52    -14.87
MS    MORGAN STANLEY        41.4     22     13.92     19.68    -35.48
LNC   LINCOLN NATL CR       41.0     13     20.54     28.96    -24.45
OI    OWENS-ILLINOIS        40.7      6     18.79     26.43    -27.51
RRD   RR DONNELLEY &        40.0      5     12.32     17.25    -33.16
SEE   SEALED AIR CORP       39.6      5     15.16     21.17    -34.71
UNM   UNUM GROUP            39.5     10     19.25     26.85    -24.60

Negative Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
SHLD  SEARS HOLDINGS       -46.1      4     52.87     28.50    -26.82
AN    AUTONATION INC       -13.3      5     39.88     34.57      1.08
HCP   HCP INC              -10.9      8     45.33     40.40     25.15
LLY   ELI LILLY & CO       -10.2     10     43.36     38.92     20.27
RAI   REYNOLDS AMERIC       -9.8      6     45.99     41.50     29.05
TRIP  TRIPADVISOR INC       -8.3      9     45.19     41.46        na
MO    ALTRIA GROUP IN       -7.5      8     35.59     32.91     37.94
WEC   WISCONSIN ENERG       -6.8      9     40.79     38.00     32.96
WMT   WAL-MART STORES       -6.4     18     72.70     68.05     37.73
VZ    VERIZON COMMUNI       -6.2     23     45.15     42.36     26.77
CINF  CINCINNATI FIN        -5.9      6     37.90     35.67     39.54
KMB   KIMBERLY-CLARK        -5.4     10     85.22     80.58     31.51
VTR   VENTAS INC            -5.3      6     64.14     60.75     22.67
BF/B  BROWN-FORMAN -B       -5.3      6     97.13     92.00     30.58
PSA   PUBLIC STORAGE        -4.9     13    146.78    139.53     24.85
FII   FEDERATED INV-B       -4.9      7     22.09     21.00     -3.31
HCN   HEALTH CARE REI       -4.8      7     60.43     57.50     19.47
ED    CONS EDISON INC       -4.6      7     63.33     60.40     22.15
SHW   SHERWIN-WILLIAM       -4.6     11    130.66    124.67     56.38
DHI   DR HORTON INC         -4.6     13     19.05     18.17     60.42
SCG   SCANA CORP            -4.3      6     48.73     46.63     28.72
CLX   CLOROX CO             -3.6      8     73.44     70.80      6.83
BCR   CR BARD INC           -3.6     11    108.03    104.17     -5.18
COST  COSTCO WHOLESAL       -3.5     21     94.43     91.12     17.91
PHM   PULTEGROUP INC        -3.3     15     11.12     10.75     48.70
AMGN  AMGEN INC             -3.3     12     76.71     74.21     36.03
DTE   DTE ENERGY CO         -3.2      7     59.93     58.00     23.69
PNW   PINNACLE WEST         -3.2      7     52.99     51.30     22.55
CL    COLGATE-PALMOLI       -3.2     10    105.36    102.00     20.85
SYY   SYSCO CORP            -3.0      8     28.88     28.00     -4.43
T     AT&T INC              -2.9     25     35.23     34.21     19.88
LEN   LENNAR CORP-A         -2.8     15     31.47     30.60     73.54
PEG   PUB SERV ENTERP       -2.7     11     32.60     31.71      4.90
NEE   NEXTERA ENERGY        -2.2     16     69.23     67.71     24.20
NOC   NORTHROP GRUMMA       -2.2     12     63.38     62.00     -3.49
HSY   HERSHEY CO/THE        -1.8      9     72.38     71.08     29.04
SO    SOUTHERN CO           -1.6     10     47.63     46.85     22.34
S     SPRINT NEXTEL C       -1.5     19      3.27      3.22    -41.07
EXPE  EXPEDIA INC           -1.4     15     44.74     44.12     54.77

To contact the reporter on this story: Wendy Soong in New York at csoong@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at at atanzi@bloomberg.net


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Companies Mentioned

  • IBM
    (International Business Machines Corp)
    • $192.25 USD
    • -0.74
    • -0.38%
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