Bloomberg News

S&P 500 Stocks With Biggest Gap Between Market Price, Estimate

July 06, 2012

The following table shows the companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) with the biggest gaps between their stock price and analysts’ average price estimates as of July 6.

The average estimate (IBM:US) is based on data compiled by Bloomberg and reflects forecasts for the next 12 months, a period that varies among brokerage firms. Only companies that have at least four analyst target prices are included.

Positive Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
ANR   ALPHA NATURAL R      118.0     20      8.99     19.60    -79.88
ATI   ALLEGHENY TECH        84.4      8     32.00     59.00    -47.12
CLF   CLIFFS NATURAL        74.9     14     47.54     83.13    -46.54
LSI   LSI CORP              67.8     13      6.24     10.46     -9.03
HES   HESS CORP             65.4     10     43.43     71.82    -41.12
DNR   DENBURY RESOURC       65.2     13     14.98     24.75    -25.46
R     RYDER SYSTEM IN       63.8     11     34.52     56.55    -37.68
BTU   PEABODY ENERGY        62.1     20     25.26     40.95    -56.56
EA    ELECTRONIC ARTS       59.6     20     12.00     19.16    -49.05
TER   TERADYNE INC          56.7      7     13.82     21.65     -4.39
APC   ANADARKO PETROL       56.4     25     65.97    103.16    -14.94
NBR   NABORS INDS LTD       56.2     15     14.35     22.42    -40.72
MET   METLIFE INC           55.5     13     30.23     47.00    -28.32
FOSL  FOSSIL INC            52.5     10     68.57    104.55    -42.32
HIG   HARTFORD FINL S       52.2      9     16.95     25.80    -33.45
OI    OWENS-ILLINOIS        51.6      7     19.21     29.13    -24.67
MU    MICRON TECH           51.4     23      6.61     10.01    -12.47
GNW   GENWORTH FINANC       51.1      6      5.57      8.42    -45.43
FLR   FLUOR CORP            50.5     17     48.74     73.36    -21.90
ANF   ABERCROMBIE & F       50.3     21     33.52     50.36    -50.69
CAM   CAMERON INTERNA       50.0     17     42.67     64.00    -13.36
F     FORD MOTOR CO         49.6      9      9.47     14.17    -31.55
CAT   CATERPILLAR INC       48.4     15     84.17    124.88    -18.47
NFX   NEWFIELD EXPLOR       47.7     19     29.63     43.75    -57.34
AMD   ADV MICRO DEVIC       47.6     23      5.71      8.43    -17.65
C     CITIGROUP INC         47.5     20     26.71     39.40    -36.87
HAL   HALLIBURTON CO        47.3     21     29.14     42.93    -42.74
JOY   JOY GLOBAL INC        46.8     14     55.43     81.36    -40.38
JCI   JOHNSON CONTROL       46.2     21     27.09     39.61    -32.85
DVN   DEVON ENERGY CO       45.9     22     57.42     83.78    -26.48
MRO   MARATHON OIL          45.8     12     25.17     36.69    -23.53
PXD   PIONEER NATURAL       45.4     24     86.82    126.27     -3.15
GME   GAMESTOP CORP-A       45.0     15     18.04     26.17    -32.36
FCX   FREEPORT-MCMORA       44.1     17     34.95     50.37    -32.10
FSLR  FIRST SOLAR INC       44.1     24     15.01     21.63    -88.32
ETN   EATON CORP            43.7     15     39.21     56.33    -20.61
FFIV  F5 NETWORKS           43.5     33     95.00    136.37    -10.63
RRD   RR DONNELLEY &        43.5      5     12.02     17.25    -35.68
WYNN  WYNN RESORTS LT       43.1     19    100.09    143.18    -28.49
UNM   UNUM GROUP            42.9     10     19.21     27.45    -23.36
QEP   QEP RESOURCES I       42.9     12     29.18     41.69    -30.25
LNC   LINCOLN NATL CR       41.5     13     20.69     29.27    -24.90
NOV   NATL OILWELL VA       41.2     19     66.37     93.70    -15.86
PRU   PRUDENTL FINL         41.2     12     47.56     67.14    -22.67
APA   APACHE CORP           40.6     23     86.43    121.54    -28.96
HPQ   HEWLETT-PACKARD       39.2     20     19.66     27.36    -43.22
NBL   NOBLE ENERGY IN       39.0     19     85.37    118.65     -4.65
COH   COACH INC             38.6     22     58.30     80.78     -9.23
NEM   NEWMONT MINING        38.5     14     48.32     66.94     -7.69
NE    NOBLE CORP            38.5     26     33.02     45.73    -14.12
WDC   WESTERN DIGITAL       38.1     16     30.75     42.47    -16.59

Negative Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
SHLD  SEARS HOLDINGS       -53.9      4     61.85     28.50    -10.79
AN    AUTONATION INC       -10.9      5     38.80     34.57      5.04
TRIP  TRIPADVISOR INC       -9.5      9     45.82     41.46        na
HCP   HCP INC               -8.5      8     44.17     40.40     23.73
LLY   ELI LILLY & CO        -8.5     10     42.42     38.83     20.98
RAI   REYNOLDS AMERIC       -8.3      6     45.26     41.50     27.36
EXPE  EXPEDIA INC           -7.3     15     47.61     44.12     73.39
CINF  CINCINNATI FIN        -7.3      6     37.92     35.17     37.21
KMB   KIMBERLY-CLARK        -5.6      9     83.78     79.10     31.52
SHW   SHERWIN-WILLIAM       -5.4     11    131.84    124.67     59.40
MO    ALTRIA GROUP IN       -5.2      8     34.72     32.91     38.58
VZ    VERIZON COMMUNI       -5.0     23     44.24     42.05     25.15
VTR   VENTAS INC            -4.8      6     63.18     60.13     22.40
WEC   WISCONSIN ENERG       -4.6      9     39.82     38.00     30.48
WMT   WAL-MART STORES       -4.6     18     71.08     67.84     36.79
BF/B  BROWN-FORMAN -B       -3.9      6     94.71     91.00     27.07
BCR   CR BARD INC           -3.8     11    106.57    102.50     -2.93
T     AT&T INC              -3.7     25     35.29     33.98     19.79
LEN   LENNAR CORP-A         -3.4     15     31.24     30.18     70.58
COST  COSTCO WHOLESAL       -3.3     21     94.03     90.91     17.04
SYY   SYSCO CORP            -3.3      8     28.96     28.00     -2.77
ED    CONS EDISON INC       -3.2      7     62.01     60.00     20.57
PSA   PUBLIC STORAGE        -3.2     13    144.16    139.53     26.69
AEE   AMEREN CORP           -3.1      4     33.23     32.20     20.08
PRGO  PERRIGO CO            -3.1     10    118.30    114.64     31.90
S     SPRINT NEXTEL C       -2.8     18      3.28      3.18    -38.59
PHM   PULTEGROUP INC        -2.8     15     10.96     10.65     44.36
ALXN  ALEXION PHARM         -2.8     11    100.91     98.08    115.58
FII   FEDERATED INV-B       -2.6      7     21.34     20.78     -5.59
SCG   SCANA CORP            -2.6      6     47.89     46.63     27.34
DLTR  DOLLAR TREE INC       -2.6     19     54.22     52.79     56.08
DTE   DTE ENERGY CO         -2.4      7     59.21     57.78     22.14
DHI   DR HORTON INC         -2.2     13     18.46     18.06     62.66
NEE   NEXTERA ENERGY        -2.1     16     68.34     66.88     23.32
HCN   HEALTH CARE REI       -2.1      7     58.74     57.50     16.92
CL    COLGATE-PALMOLI       -2.1     10    104.18    102.00     22.02
CLX   CLOROX CO             -1.9      8     71.87     70.50     10.47
PNW   PINNACLE WEST         -1.9      7     51.97     51.00     21.19
PEG   PUB SERV ENTERP       -1.8     11     32.13     31.54      3.45
CERN  CERNER CORP           -1.6     11     81.59     80.25     31.70
HSY   HERSHEY CO/THE        -1.6      9     72.18     71.00     28.85
HRL   HORMEL FOODS CR       -1.5      7     30.03     29.57      2.78
EW    EDWARDS LIFE          -1.5     13    102.70    101.20     17.10
AMGN  AMGEN INC             -1.3     12     73.86     72.93     31.02
NOC   NORTHROP GRUMMA       -1.1     13     63.21     62.54     -5.24

To contact the reporter on this story: Wendy Soong in New York at csoong@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at at atanzi@bloomberg.net


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Companies Mentioned

  • IBM
    (International Business Machines Corp)
    • $190.54 USD
    • -1.61
    • -0.84%
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