Bloomberg News

Pena Nieto Lead Cut to 14 Points in Survey Ahead of Mexico Vote

June 04, 2012

Mexico presidential front-runner Enrique Pena Nieto’s lead narrowed to 14 percentage points in the latest opinion survey ahead of July 1 elections amid student-led street protests against his candidacy.

Pena Nieto of the Institutional Revolutionary Party had 37.8 percent support in the poll by Buendia y Laredo published today in Mexican newspaper El Universal, down from 41.9 percent three weeks ago. Backing for Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador of the Party of the Democratic Revolution rose to 23.9 percent from 20.9 percent.

Students from private and public universities claiming media organizations are biased toward Pena Nieto have organized protests in major cities around the country in recent weeks. Today’s survey showed 47 percent of respondents approve of the marches, while 32 percent say they are not in favor.

Josefina Vazquez Mota of the ruling National Action Party Party had 22.4 percent in the Buendia y Laredo poll, up from from 19.4 percent last month.

Pena Nieto leads among all segments of the population except among people who are college educated, where Lopez Obrador has 33 percent backing to Pena Nieto’s 31 percent and Vazquez Mota’s 24 percent, the poll said.

The survey of 1,000 voters taken May 24 to May 28 had a 3.5 percentage point margin of error.

Reforma newspaper released a poll May 31 that showed Pena Nieto’s lead over Lopez Obrador had narrowed to 4 percentage points, the closest of any major survey. The Mexico City-based newspaper is the only major daily not to use an independent polling company for its surveys.

To contact the reporter on this story: Nacha Cattan in Mexico City at ncattan@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Joshua Goodman at jgoodman19@bloomberg.net


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