Bloomberg News

S&P 500 Stocks With Biggest Gap Between Market Price, Estimate

March 23, 2012

The following table shows the companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) with the biggest gaps between their stock price and analysts’ average price estimates as of March 23.

The average estimate is based on data compiled by Bloomberg and reflects forecasts for the next 12 months, a period that varies among brokerage firms. Only companies that have at least four analyst target prices are included.

Positive Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
ANR   ALPHA NATURAL R       62.6     22     16.25     26.43    -71.84
BTU   PEABODY ENERGY        59.8     23     30.57     48.86    -56.42
HAL   HALLIBURTON CO        49.8     25     33.51     50.21    -27.19
ATI   ALLEGHENY TECH        47.3     10     42.31     62.33    -34.43
QEP   QEP RESOURCES I       45.5     11     30.73     44.73    -24.44
NBR   NABORS INDS LTD       45.5     22     19.07     27.74    -31.91
GT    GOODYEAR TIRE         44.7      7     11.95     17.29    -21.69
CNX   CONSOL ENERGY         44.5     25     34.00     49.13    -38.13
EA    ELECTRONIC ARTS       42.4     13     16.90     24.07     -9.88
DNR   DENBURY RESOURC       42.2     15     18.43     26.20    -24.25
NEM   NEWMONT MINING        41.5     13     53.52     75.72      0.56
BHI   BAKER HUGHES IN       41.1     22     43.91     61.96    -38.18
FSLR  FIRST SOLAR INC       40.1     23     26.19     36.69    -81.91
FCX   FREEPORT-MCMORA       38.9     17     38.65     53.67    -24.26
JOY   JOY GLOBAL INC        37.6     11     75.49    103.91    -19.12
NFX   NEWFIELD EXPLOR       37.4     20     35.51     48.80    -54.29
RRD   RR DONNELLEY &        37.3      5     12.75     17.50    -24.24
HES   HESS CORP             36.1     11     59.84     81.42    -27.40
APC   ANADARKO PETROL       35.0     26     79.50    107.30     -2.71
COG   CABOT OIL & GAS       34.0     19     32.34     43.32     28.15
EQT   EQT CORP              33.6     15     49.55     66.20      4.08
LUV   SOUTHWEST AIR         33.0     10      8.23     10.95    -33.39
LSI   LSI CORP              32.5     12      8.65     11.46     31.91
HPQ   HEWLETT-PACKARD       31.7     17     23.33     30.72    -43.82
F     FORD MOTOR CO         31.0     10     12.28     16.08    -13.73
RDC   ROWAN COMPANIES       30.1     29     33.60     43.72    -20.77
MU    MICRON TECH           29.7     22      8.40     10.89    -15.85
MET   METLIFE INC           29.0     12     37.25     48.07    -14.87
NSC   NORFOLK SOUTHER       28.9     20     64.90     83.67     -1.55
PCS   METROPCS COMMUN       28.5     18      9.66     12.42    -37.10
CLF   CLIFFS NATURAL        28.4     15     70.72     90.79    -23.96
OI    OWENS-ILLINOIS        28.2      7     23.41     30.00    -22.12
APA   APACHE CORP           28.0     24    102.48    131.13    -19.39
APOL  APOLLO GROUP-A        27.9     12     42.41     54.23      1.44
CAM   CAMERON INTERNA       27.3     22     51.53     65.58    -16.08
NBL   NOBLE ENERGY IN       27.2     22     96.07    122.20      0.13
HRB   H&R BLOCK INC         27.1      5     16.72     21.25      9.74
JCI   JOHNSON CONTROL       27.0     20     31.92     40.55    -19.06
RRC   RANGE RESOURCES       26.7     26     59.03     74.80     10.17
CSX   CSX CORP              26.2     21     21.08     26.61    -17.79
GME   GAMESTOP CORP-A       26.1     17     23.50     29.63     10.90
OXY   OCCIDENTAL PETE       26.0     14     97.09    122.29     -2.47
FLS   FLOWSERVE CORP        25.9      9    111.82    140.80     -9.68
SVU   SUPERVALU INC         25.7     13      6.07      7.63    -24.49
NRG   NRG ENERGY            25.7      9     16.85     21.18    -21.09
SLB   SCHLUMBERGER LT       25.7     25     72.50     91.11    -17.83
HIG   HARTFORD FINL S       25.4      9     21.37     26.80    -17.79
GILD  GILEAD SCIENCES       25.1     19     46.50     58.19     15.31
HP    HELMERICH & PAY       24.7     19     55.44     69.15    -12.91
SNDK  SANDISK CORP          24.4     18     48.62     60.50     17.04
WLP   WELLPOINT INC         24.4     12     66.47     82.69     -0.08

Negative Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
FII   FEDERATED INV-B      -20.5      9     23.02     18.30     -7.55
NFLX  NETFLIX INC          -19.8     20    120.30     96.50    -46.37
MAS   MASCO CORP           -13.7      7     13.37     11.54      1.20
TRIP  TRIPADVISOR INC      -10.4     12     33.04     29.61        na
CINF  CINCINNATI FIN       -10.3      6     34.74     31.17     12.57
HSP   HOSPIRA INC           -9.4      6     36.73     33.29    -28.71
ETFC  E*TRADE FINANCI       -8.1     11     11.08     10.18    -29.48
CSC   COMPUTER SCIENC       -7.9      8     30.55     28.13    -35.01
EP    EL PASO CORP          -7.9      7     29.98     27.63     66.92
WM    WASTE MANAGEMEN       -7.7      6     34.82     32.13     -1.15
FAST  FASTENAL CO           -7.4      4     53.36     49.40     76.66
BEAM  BEAM INC              -5.5      8     58.02     54.86     25.59
AMD   ADV MICRO DEVIC       -5.2     23      8.04      7.62     -3.95
GPS   GAP INC/THE           -4.9     22     26.16     24.89     22.96
LMT   LOCKHEED MARTIN       -4.5     13     89.50     85.50     14.90
COST  COSTCO WHOLESAL       -4.2     19     90.07     86.29     27.97
LLY   ELI LILLY & CO        -4.0      9     39.82     38.23     21.32
CMG   CHIPOTLE MEXICA       -3.7     18    414.48    399.26     71.44
AEE   AMEREN CORP           -3.5      4     31.80     30.70     22.92
BCR   CR BARD INC           -3.0     13     96.77     93.85      1.23
DO    DIAMOND OFFSHOR       -3.0     24     69.37     67.32     -7.76
ISRG  INTUITIVE SURGI       -2.9      9    531.60    516.00     65.11
BF/B  BROWN-FORMAN -B       -2.7      6     81.18     79.00     22.48
FHN   FIRST HORIZON N       -2.5     23     10.37     10.11     -6.61
SYY   SYSCO CORP            -2.5      8     29.74     29.00     10.40
BAC   BANK OF AMERICA       -2.4     24      9.69      9.46    -30.47
DNB   DUN & BRADSTREE       -2.4      6     83.78     81.80      7.52
HCBK  HUDSON CITY BNC       -2.1     13      7.26      7.10    -24.38
LXK   LEXMARK INTL-A        -2.0      7     34.40     33.71     -1.89
CA    CA INC                -1.7      9     27.46     27.00     19.31
PAYX  PAYCHEX INC           -1.6     10     31.76     31.25      4.38
PM    PHILIP MORRIS I       -1.4     12     86.67     85.43     41.47
TROW  T ROWE PRICE GR       -1.4     14     63.62     62.75      3.75
WY    WEYERHAEUSER CO       -1.3      6     21.72     21.43     -8.15
IBM   IBM                   -1.3     18    205.64    202.89     32.26
BBT   BB&T CORP             -1.3     27     30.78     30.37     18.74
NOC   NORTHROP GRUMMA       -1.2     13     60.59     59.84      2.41
AN    AUTONATION INC        -1.1      6     34.95     34.57      6.63

To contact the reporter on this story: Wendy Soong in New York at csoong@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at at atanzi@bloomberg.net


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