Bloomberg News

S&P 500 Stocks With Biggest Gap Between Market Price, Estimate

By Wendy Soong
March 02, 2012

The following table shows the companies in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (SPX) with the biggest gaps between their stock price and analysts’ average price estimates as of March 2.

The average estimate is based on data compiled by Bloomberg and reflects forecasts for the next 12 months, a period that varies among brokerage firms. Only companies that have at least four analyst target prices are included. 

Positive Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
ANR   ALPHA NATURAL R       54.9     22     17.93     27.77    -64.90
CNX   CONSOL ENERGY         50.6     25     34.63     52.16    -28.00
BTU   PEABODY ENERGY        43.7     23     34.50     49.57    -45.63
CLF   CLIFFS NATURAL        42.6     13     64.77     92.36    -30.49
HAL   HALLIBURTON CO        39.7     26     36.40     50.85    -20.72
ATI   ALLEGHENY TECH        38.9     10     44.57     61.90    -29.73
EA    ELECTRONIC ARTS       38.4     14     17.02     23.56     -9.29
NFX   NEWFIELD EXPLOR       37.1     21     35.70     48.95    -48.90
LUV   SOUTHWEST AIR         33.6     10      9.11     12.17    -24.02
QEP   QEP RESOURCES I       33.2     12     33.25     44.27    -11.91
BHI   BAKER HUGHES IN       32.6     23     50.17     66.50    -25.92
GT    GOODYEAR TIRE         32.0      7     13.16     17.38     -6.47
NRG   NRG ENERGY            31.3     10     17.22     22.62    -11.89
APOL  APOLLO GROUP-A        30.8     12     42.29     55.31     -4.40
RRD   RR DONNELLEY &        30.5      5     13.41     17.50    -19.74
IGT   INTL GAME TECH        29.8     15     15.19     19.72     -6.81
CSX   CSX CORP              29.6     21     20.94     27.15    -10.94
NEM   NEWMONT MINING        29.4     13     59.20     76.58      8.16
DNR   DENBURY RESOURC       27.4     16     20.31     25.87    -14.69
FCX   FREEPORT-MCMORA       27.1     17     42.69     54.26    -14.12
S     SPRINT NEXTEL C       26.9     18      2.51      3.18    -40.62
WU    WESTERN UNION         26.6     22     17.34     21.94    -17.47
NBR   NABORS INDS LTD       26.5     22     21.86     27.65    -19.41
NBL   NOBLE ENERGY IN       25.8     21     95.90    120.63      6.44
COG   CABOT OIL & GAS       25.2     19     35.34     44.25     62.13
NSC   NORFOLK SOUTHER       25.1     20     68.48     85.68      9.00
OI    OWENS-ILLINOIS        25.0      8     24.18     30.22    -18.18
EQT   EQT CORP              25.0     15     53.06     66.31     13.95
PWR   QUANTA SERVICES       24.8     16     20.97     26.18     -5.40
WLP   WELLPOINT INC         24.6     12     66.05     82.29      1.84
HPQ   HEWLETT-PACKARD       24.1     17     25.48     31.61    -40.26
HIG   HARTFORD FINL S       23.8     11     20.75     25.69    -27.10
F     FORD MOTOR CO         23.8     10     12.93     16.00    -13.29
GILD  GILEAD SCIENCES       23.7     18     47.03     58.16     20.88
MET   METLIFE INC           23.5     14     38.71     47.82    -13.51
DV    DEVRY INC             23.3     12     35.07     43.23    -32.51
HES   HESS CORP             23.2     12     65.57     80.77    -21.37
R     RYDER SYSTEM IN       23.2     10     54.24     66.80     19.24
APC   ANADARKO PETROL       23.0     23     83.72    102.96      7.76
SVU   SUPERVALU INC         22.9     13      6.51      8.00    -15.89
TER   TERADYNE INC          22.7     10     16.34     20.04    -10.28
DVN   DEVON ENERGY CO       22.6     24     73.84     90.50    -15.70
WPX   WPX ENERGY            22.3      4     18.20     22.25        na
JOY   JOY GLOBAL INC        22.2     13     86.20    105.31     -9.07
HRB   H&R BLOCK INC         22.0      6     16.39     20.00     16.68
X     US STEEL CORP         21.9     13     27.89     34.01    -49.53
GME   GAMESTOP CORP-A       21.6     16     23.92     29.09     21.68
APA   APACHE CORP           21.5     23    107.46    130.54     -9.18
JDSU  JDS UNIPHASE          21.5     12     13.52     16.42    -46.42
ABC   AMERISOURCEBERG       21.4      9     36.99     44.92      1.26
CAH   CARDINAL HEALTH       21.4      9     41.34     50.17      2.54

Negative Gap Percentage
                                    # of     Last   Average    1 Year
Tkr   Company Name          Gap%   Analyst  Price    Target   %Return
=====================================================================
NFLX  NETFLIX INC          -17.3     20    116.75     96.50    -44.90
CSC   COMPUTER SCIENC      -13.4      8     31.94     27.67    -31.03
FII   FEDERATED INV-B      -13.3      9     20.53     17.80    -21.38
FAST  FASTENAL CO          -10.7      4     52.88     47.20     77.46
CINF  CINCINNATI FIN       -10.6      5     34.66     31.00     10.87
LXK   LEXMARK INTL-A        -9.0      7     37.06     33.71      1.99
TRIP  TRIPADVISOR INC       -8.1     12     32.16     29.57        na
WM    WASTE MANAGEMEN       -8.0      6     34.91     32.13     -0.56
AEE   AMEREN CORP           -7.1      4     32.01     29.75     23.19
ISRG  INTUITIVE SURGI       -6.8      9    518.89    483.50     63.01
LMT   LOCKHEED MARTIN       -6.4     13     88.71     83.00     16.71
HSP   HOSPIRA INC           -6.0      6     35.42     33.29    -31.69
SLE   SARA LEE CORP         -5.1      9     21.71     20.60     23.68
ETFC  E*TRADE FINANCI       -5.0     11      9.86      9.36    -37.04
WY    WEYERHAEUSER CO       -4.0      6     21.27     20.43     -6.00
JBL   JABIL CIRCUIT         -3.3      9     26.20     25.33     25.62
BF/B  BROWN-FORMAN -B       -3.2      6     81.81     79.17     22.89
SHW   SHERWIN-WILLIAM       -3.1     11    103.08     99.91     30.99
LLY   ELI LILLY & CO        -3.0      9     39.57     38.38     21.00
SCHW  SCHWAB (CHARLES       -2.5     15     13.87     13.52    -24.12
PLL   PALL CORP             -2.4      8     63.41     61.86     20.08
AMD   ADV MICRO DEVIC       -2.4     23      7.61      7.42    -16.79
ADBE  ADOBE SYS INC         -2.1     14     33.38     32.69     -2.56
MAS   MASCO CORP            -1.8      9     11.87     11.66     -6.69
DO    DIAMOND OFFSHOR       -1.7     26     68.59     67.44     -6.41
PHM   PULTEGROUP INC        -1.6     13      8.66      8.52     29.17
DNB   DUN & BRADSTREE       -1.3      6     82.90     81.80      6.21
GPC   GENUINE PARTS C       -1.3      4     62.82     62.00     24.87
EP    EL PASO CORP          -1.2      6     28.20     27.86     54.67

To contact the reporter on this story: Wendy Soong in New York at csoong@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alex Tanzi at at atanzi@bloomberg.net

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