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U.S. Treasury note investors were more optimistic this week, according to a JPMorgan weekly poll of clients.
The net percentage of investors holding Treasury notes increased to 13 percent this week from 2 percent the previous week. The net figure is the difference between the percentage of investors long on Treasury notes (expecting prices to increase), and the percentage short Treasury notes (expecting prices to decrease.)
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Feb. 27 Feb. 21 Feb. 13 Feb. 6 Jan. 30 Jan. 23 4-week
2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 2012 Avg.
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Index 0.85 0.98 0.85 1.00 0.85 0.93 0.92
-All Clients Who Expect Treasury Prices to:
Increase 26% 17% 21% 15% 23% 21% 20%
Not Change 60% 68% 72% 70% 68% 64% 68%
Decrease 13% 15% 7% 15% 9% 15% 13%
Net Long 13% 2% 14% 0% 15% 6% 7%
Changes 21% 21% 21% 19% 15% 21% 21%
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NOTE: Survey index equals shorts plus neutrals divided by longs plus neutrals.
In the week ending Oct. 24 JP Morgan changed the list of clients surveyed
and the historical data was recalibrated.
SOURCE: JPMorgan
To contact the reporter on this story: Chris Middleton in Washington at cmiddleton2@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Marco Babic at mbabic@bloomberg.net