Bloomberg News

Brent Oil May Rally to $127 on ‘Double Buy’: Technical Analysis

February 20, 2012

Feb. 20 (Bloomberg) -- Brent crude may extend this year’s advance to $127 a barrel after prices gave two signals to buy the commodity, according to technical analysis by Societe Generale SA.

Brent traded at about $120 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange, having climbed 8 percent this month. Weekly prices completed a “head and shoulders” formation at the end of last year, typically an indicator of further gains, and at the end of January broke above a downward-sloping channel that had capped the market since April, London-based technical analyst Stephanie Aymes said in a report on Feb. 18.

There has been a “weekly double buy signal triggered,” Aymes wrote.

The first “shoulder” of the head and shoulders pattern was formed in early September, the head in early October, and the second shoulder through to mid-December, she said.

This may push the April Brent contract to as much as last year’s peak at $122.20, according to Societe Generale. Reaching this point may trigger additional gains toward $126 or $127 a barrel, Aymes said.

In March, when the difference between Brent and the U.S. oil benchmark, West Texas Intermediate, was about $8 a barrel, Aymes correctly predicted the spread would widen. It reached a closing peak in October of $27.88 a barrel.

--Editors: Raj Rajendran, John Buckley.

To contact the reporter on this story: Grant Smith in London at

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Stephen Voss on

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