The boom. The bust. Now what? We talked to scores of players to learn what
lies ahead. Did we find a consensus? Not at all. But we heard a lot of smart thinking and synthesized it into a deeper understanding of our most important industry
THE BIG PICTURE
Why Tech Will Bloom Again
Sure, parts of the industry have withered. But that's the way tech works, and new fruit is on the way
This Gift Just Keeps on Giving
The 1990s boom in tech spending may be long gone, but it's still fueling productivity growth in many parts of the economy
Still the Center of This World
But Silicon Valley remains a ferociously expensive place to do business, and something's got to give
Nick Carr: The Tech Advantage Is Overrated
Andy Grove: "We Can't Even Glimpse the Potential"
Online Extra: Joe Tucci: "Tech Will Adapt Forever"
EMC's CEO says a rebound is likely to come along, and it "will be led by established companies"
Online Extra: Nicholas Negroponte: The Innovation "Void"
MIT's Media Lab founder laments a growing lack of creativity, as seen in bad design and hard-to-use devices
Online Extra: Bob Metcalfe: "We All Knew Better"
3Com's founder says since so many got burned by tech, people are only slowly returning to embrace its continued promise
Online Extra: Mark Zandi: "Tech Will Return"
Economy.com's chief economist says the sector's rebound will be subdued, but it will still hit 6% over the next five years
Online Extra: Jim Clark: Silicon Valley's "Funk"
While the dot-com pioneer believes "technology will still be vibrant," he's happy to be "no longer part of it"
ROAD MAP
The Quest for the Next Big Thing
Gadget or service, it may emerge from a global digital nervous system
Tech Wave 1: Utility Computing
The idea is to make computing power into another pay-as-you-go service -- like water or electricity. But beware of the hype
Tech Wave 2: The Sensor Revolution
Soon, sensor networks will track everything from weather to inventory
Tech Wave 3: Plastic Electronics
Next to innovative plastics, silicon could soon look clunky and dated
Tech Wave 4: Bionic Bodies
Marrying electronics and biology promises new devices that could transform millions of lives
Speaking Out: Microsoft's Bill Gates
Speaking Out: Dell's Michael Dell
Speaking Out: Hewlett-Packard's Carly Fiorina
Speaking Out: Apple's and Pixar's Steve Jobs
Speaking Out: Amazon.com's Jeff Bezos
Speaking Out: GE's Jeff Immelt
Speaking Out: IBM's Sam Palmisano
Speaking Out: Cisco's John Chambers
Speaking Out: Opsware's Marc Andreessen
Speaking Out: Entrepreneur Joe Kraus
Speaking Out: Institute For The Future's Paul Saffo
Speaking Out: Softbank's Masayoshi Son
Speaking Out: Sun Microsystems' Scott McNealy and Bill Joy
Speaking Out: SAP's Henning Kagermann
Online Extra: Tim Koogle: "I Love the Current Time"
Yahoo's former CEO says "periods of economic downturn are the best time to start new enterprises"
Online Extra: Irwin Jacobs: Don't Skimp on Tech
Qualcomm's CEO says companies can't be too cautious about their tech spending if they don't want to be left behind
Online Extra: Mark Cuban: Watch Out for "Ultrabroadband"
Broadcast.com's founder says once high-speed Net access gets to 1 gigabit a second, "then we'll see our lives change"
ROADBLOCKS
Where Danger Lurks
Spam, complexity, and piracy could hinder tech's recovery
Larry Ellison: The Old Valley Is History
Roger McNamee: The Valley Still Has an Edge
MANAGEMENT
The eBay Economy
The company is not just a wildly successful startup. It has invented a whole new business world
Online Extra: Jay Walker: Don't Blame Technology
Priceline founder says too many outfits believed it was "a magic bullet," and now they're paying the price for their own mistakes
INVESTING
Yin and Yang Stocks
Many tech issues are still best suited for trading. But these days, there are some you might buy and hold
Taking the Plunge
How to get back into tech? A carefully chosen fund may be the best path
Something Ventured, Plenty Gained
Finally, VCs are ready to jump back in -- with enough cash to fuel a rebound
Companies That Really Get It
Using tech to chip away at problems is what gave these leaders a winning edge
| |
TECHNOLOGY SPECIAL REPORTS
Food Tech
Lab innovations now drive new products and aim to make food safer,
longer-lasting, and healthier (7/8/03)
Info Tech 100
Here are the giants and the upstarts from around the globe that are best positioned for a rebound (6/23/03)
Biotech's Challenges
Here's what the industry needs to put itself on a solid foundation
(6/2/03)
Women in Tech
Results are what matters most -- and a new generation of women execs is
delivering (5/29/03)
Tech Gurus
Meet five people who aren't waiting for an economic rebound to push back the boundaries of technology (4/1/03)
|
=Subscribers Only
Copyright 2003, by The McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. All rights reserved.
