| Name/Firm |
REAL GDP Quarterly % Chg. Annual Rate 2007 |
YEARLY % Chg. 2006 Q4 to 2007 Q4 |
2007 Q4 Levels (Percent) |
HOME PRICES (% Chg. 2006 Q4 to 2007 Q4) |
| I |
II |
III |
IV |
REAL GDP |
OPERATING PROFITS |
CPI INFLATION |
FEDERAL FUNDS RATE |
10-Yr. Treasury Yields |
JOBLESS RATE |
| KATHLEEN CAMILLI Camilli Economics |
3.5 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
7.0 |
3.4 |
5.25 |
5.50 |
4.5 |
5.0
|
| ROBERT DiCLEMENTE Citigroup |
3.0 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
6.0 |
2.4 |
5.00 |
4.80 |
4.6 |
2.5
|
| KURT KARL Swiss Re |
3.9 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
8.7 |
2.4 |
4.50 |
5.00 |
4.5 |
7.0
|
| JAMES PAULSEN Wells Capital Management |
3.5 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
6.0 |
2.2 |
6.00 |
6.00 |
4.4 |
0.0
|
| BILL CHENEY John Hancock Financial Services |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
6.0 |
2.5 |
5.25 |
5.00 |
5.1 |
5.0
|
| MICHAEL ENGLUND Action Economics |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
5.3 |
2.7 |
5.75 |
5.20 |
4.2 |
4.8
|
| JOEL PRAKKEN / CHRIS VARVARES Macroeconomic Advisers |
2.9 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
5.9 |
2.8 |
5.25 |
5.05 |
5.1 |
1.2
|
| DAVID TEOLIS General Motors |
2.6 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
6.2 |
2.5 |
4.75 |
5.40 |
5.1 |
3.5
|
| RICHARD YAMARONE Argus Research |
3.1 |
3.3 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
15.0 |
3.3 |
5.50 |
5.00 |
4.8 |
10.0
|
| DAVID LEREAH National Association of Realtors |
3.3 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
8.0 |
2.0 |
4.75 |
5.00 |
4.8 |
2.5
|
| ROBERT MELLMAN JPMorgan Chase |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
6.0 |
2.4 |
5.65 |
4.85 |
4.4 |
0.0
|
| DONALD STRASZHEIM Roth Capital Partners |
1.8 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
11.0 |
2.5 |
6.00 |
5.00 |
4.5 |
12.0
|
| DIANE SWONK Mesirow Financial |
2.4 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
6.2 |
2.1 |
5.33 |
4.90 |
4.9 |
3.0
|
| MARK ZANDI Moody's Economy.com |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
5.3 |
2.3 |
4.75 |
5.10 |
4.8 |
1.5
|
| DAVID BERSON Fannie Mae |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
6.0 |
2.7 |
4.58 |
4.65 |
5.0 |
2.8
|
| RICHARD DEKASER National City |
3.3 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
5.00 |
5.50 |
5.1 |
1.6
|
| GENE HUANG FedEx |
3.0 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
7.7 |
3.5 |
5.30 |
5.50 |
5.0 |
3.0
|
| WILLIAM HUMMER Wayne Hummer Investments |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
NA |
2.4 |
5.00 |
5.00 |
5.0 |
3.8
|
| DEAN MAKI Barclays Capital |
3.0 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
NA |
3.4 |
5.90 |
5.05 |
4.3 |
NA
|
| MICHAEL MORAN Daiwa Securities America |
2.4 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
1.5 |
2.6 |
5.75 |
5.05 |
4.4 |
0.0
|
| JOHN RYDING Bear Stearns |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
4.7 |
2.9 |
5.80 |
5.30 |
4.5 |
2.0
|
| RICHARD BERNER / DAVID GREENLAW Morgan Stanley |
2.3 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
5.25 |
4.78 |
5.1 |
1.0
|
| WILLIAM DUNKELBERG Nat. Fed. of Ind. Business |
2.9 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
5.0 |
2.3 |
5.00 |
4.80 |
4.8 |
10.0
|
| STEPHEN GALLAGHER Sociιtι Gιnιrale |
2.2 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
11.5 |
2.4 |
4.75 |
4.75 |
4.5 |
0.0
|
| DANA JOHNSON Comerica Bank |
2.5 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
6.0 |
2.1 |
5.25 |
5.40 |
4.8 |
NA
|
| JIM MEIL / BILL ULLRICH Eaton |
1.8 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
7.5 |
2.3 |
4.80 |
5.11 |
4.3 |
1.5
|
| DAVID RESLER Nomura Securities International |
2.7 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
2.2 |
4.92 |
4.57 |
4.8 |
3.5
|
| DAVID SEIDERS National Association of Home Builders |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
5.7 |
2.4 |
5.00 |
4.90 |
5.0 |
0.5
|
| JOHN SILVIA Wachovia |
1.4 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
2.8 |
8.0 |
1.6 |
5.00 |
5.20 |
5.0 |
0.7
|
| ETHAN HARRIS Lehman Brothers |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
7.0 |
3.5 |
5.25 |
4.80 |
4.7 |
0.5
|
| DAVID KELLY Putnam Investments |
2.0 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
2.7 |
11.3 |
2.1 |
5.25 |
5.25 |
4.7 |
2.0
|
| SUNG WON SOHN Hanmi Bank |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
5.9 |
2.6 |
5.25 |
5.00 |
4.5 |
2.0
|
| MICHAEL CAREY Calyon Corporate & Investment Bank |
2.0 |
2.4 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
6.3 |
2.7 |
4.75 |
4.78 |
4.7 |
0.3
|
| GAIL FOSLER The Conference Board |
3.0 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
6.00 |
5.00 |
4.8 |
NA
|
| MICKEY LEVY Bank of America |
1.7 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
4.75 |
4.80 |
4.9 |
2.5
|
| GREGORY MILLER SunTrust Bank |
1.4 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
2.6 |
16.0 |
2.9 |
4.50 |
4.90 |
5.4 |
2.0
|
| JOHN POPE Investment Economics |
2.5 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
14.3 |
3.5 |
4.75 |
4.80 |
4.9 |
5.5
|
| ROBERT SHROUDS DuPont |
1.5 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
4.65 |
5.00 |
4.9 |
0.0
|
| NARIMAN BEHRAVESH Global Insight |
2.8 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
7.4 |
2.6 |
4.50 |
4.55 |
4.9 |
1.4
|
| KEITH HEMBRE FAF Advisors |
2.2 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
4.50 |
4.50 |
4.8 |
5.0
|
| STUART HOFFMAN PNC Financial Services Group |
2.2 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
3.5 |
2.4 |
4.40 |
4.40 |
4.9 |
2.0
|
| KEN MAYLAND ClearView Economics |
1.4 |
1.5 |
3.2 |
4.0 |
2.5 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
4.50 |
4.17 |
4.6 |
2.5
|
| ALLEN SINAI Decision Economics |
2.7 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
7.9 |
3.1 |
5.26 |
4.72 |
4.9 |
5.0
|
| CONSTANTINE SORAS GunnAllen Financial |
1.6 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
5.9 |
2.3 |
4.75 |
4.59 |
4.6 |
1.3
|
| ROBERT MCGEE US Trust |
1.3 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
4.20 |
4.35 |
5.2 |
5.0
|
| JOEL NAROFF Naroff Economic Advisors |
2.3 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
4.25 |
5.00 |
4.5 |
2.3
|
| NICHOLAS PERNA Perna Associates |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
4.7 |
2.7 |
4.94 |
5.44 |
5.0 |
3.0
|
| JOSHUA SHAPIRO MFR |
2.6 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
5.00 |
4.40 |
4.8 |
5.0
|
| DAVID WYSS Standard & Poor's |
2.9 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
5.7 |
2.6 |
4.70 |
5.00 |
5.0 |
3.0
|
| MAURY HARRIS UBS |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
5.0 |
2.8 |
4.25 |
4.40 |
5.1 |
NA
|
| JAN HATZIUS Goldman Sachs |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
4.13 |
4.68 |
5.1 |
3.0
|
| TOM HIGGINS Payden & Rygel |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
10.0 |
2.5 |
4.50 |
4.50 |
5.2 |
3.0
|
| KEVIN LOGAN Dresdner Kleinwort |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
4.9 |
2.4 |
4.24 |
4.36 |
5.1 |
2.5
|
| PETER HOOPER Deutsche Bank Securities |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
9.0 |
2.1 |
5.00 |
5.00 |
5.2 |
0.0
|
| LYNN MICHAELIS Weyerhaeuser |
2.1 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
NA |
3.8 |
4.80 |
5.30 |
5.4 |
8.0
|
| WAYNE ANGELL Angell Economics |
1.2 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
9.0 |
1.0 |
4.20 |
4.10 |
4.5 |
15.0
|
| IAN SHEPHERDSON High Frequency Economics |
0.0 |
0.0 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
1.0 |
8.0 |
2.5 |
3.60 |
3.70 |
5.6 |
2.0
|
| JAMES SMITH Parsec Financial Management |
2.2 |
1.4 |
2.6 |
4.6 |
0.7 |
6.1 |
0.8 |
2.50 |
4.14 |
5.0 |
4.7
|
| CONSENSUS |
2.3% |
2.6% |
2.7% |
3.0% |
2.6% |
5.5% |
2.5% |
4.90% |
4.88% |
4.8% |
1.7% |
Copyright 2006, by The McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. All rights reserved.
