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PRODUCTION INDICATORS
 

 
 
 




 
      
		











	    

 


                                                    LATEST      WEEK   YEARLY
                                                      WEEK       AGO    % CHG
STEEL              10/9 thous. of net tons           1,998     2,031#     7.3
AUTOS              10/9 units                      102,839    94,859r#   17.1
TRUCKS             10/9 units                      165,964   160,732r#    0.3
ELECTRIC POWER     10/9 millions of kilowatt-hrs.   71,113    71,350#     1.5
CRUDE-OIL REFINING 10/9 thous. of bbl./day          14,671    14,759#    -2.2
COAL               10/2 thous. of net tons          21,748#   20,847      1.9
LUMBER             10/2 millions of ft.              585.9#    591.7r     9.7
RAIL FREIGHT       10/2 billions of ton-miles         31.2#     30.9      1.3



Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison
Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA,
Association of American Railroads






LEADING INDICATORS



                                                   LATEST       WEEK   YEARLY
                                                     WEEK        AGO    % CHG
ECRI LEADING INDEX               10/1 1992=100      131.8      131.4r     2.0
STOCK PRICES                     10/8 S&P 500      1122.1     1131.5      8.1
CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa        10/8                 5.5%       5.5%    -3.8
MONEY SUPPLY, M2                 9/27 billions   $6,339.8   $6,336.0r     4.0
INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT     10/9 thous.          352        337r    -9.0
MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE  10/9               436.3      459.0     21.5
MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 10/9              1949.2     2270.8    -16.7



Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Fed-
eral Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)






PRICES



                                                   LATEST       WEEK   YEARLY
                                                     WEEK        AGO    % CHG
GOLD                10/13 $/troy oz.               411.250    418.450    10.1
STEEL SCRAP         10/13 #1 heavy, $/ton          221.83     235.00     74.0
COPPER               10/8 cents/lb.                148.0      144.6      66.3
ALUMINUM             10/8 cents/lb.                 91.5       89.2      30.8
COTTON               10/8 strict low middling
                          1-1/16 in., cents/lb.     49.57      49.78    -26.7
OIL                 10/13 $/bbl.                    53.53      52.02     69.5
CRB FOODSTUFFS      10/12 1967=100                 254.36     262.38      0.7
CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 10/12 1967=100                 317.69     317.16      9.8



Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Iron Age Scrap Price Bulletin,
Platt's Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau






FOREIGN EXCHANGE



                                           LATEST           WEEK          YEAR
                                             WEEK            AGO           AGO
BRAZILIAN REAL                 10/13       2.8425         2.8358        2.8380
BRITISH POUND                  10/13         1.79           1.78          1.67
CANADIAN DOLLAR                10/13         1.26           1.26          1.33
EUROPEAN EURO                  10/13       1.2348         1.2287        1.1635
JAPANESE YEN                   10/13       109.75         111.35        109.54
KOREAN WON                     10/13       1147.4         1152.5        1174.0
MEXICAN PESO                   10/13       11.279         11.288        11.209
TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX    10/13         92.8           92.9          95.1



Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar,
except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar
via J.P. Morgan.






INTEREST RATES



                                             LATEST         WEEK         YEAR
                                               WEEK          AGO          AGO
FEDERAL FUNDS            10/12                 1.78%        1.73%        1.08%
COMMERCIAL PAPER         10/11  3-month          NA           NA         1.06
CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT  10/12  3-month        2.01         2.00         1.09
FIXED MORTGAGE            10/8  30-year        5.93         5.86         6.13
ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE       10/8  one-year       4.07         4.05         3.94
PRIME                    10/12                 4.75         4.75         4.00



Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets



#Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing
the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include
machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn.  2=Southern
Forest Products Assn.  3=Free market value  NA=Not available  r=revised
NM=Not meaningful

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