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JULY 12, 2004
FIGURES OF THE WEEK/Online Extra

Production Index Components



PRODUCTION INDICATORS
                                               LATEST       WEEK     YEARLY
                                                 WEEK        AGO%       CHG


STEEL 6/26 thous. of net tons 2,030 1,973# 6.9 AUTOS 6/26 units 92,379 89,377r# -2.6 TRUCKS 6/26 units 155,700 146,324r# 0.8 ELECTRIC POWER 6/26 millions of kilowatt-hrs. 75,627 82,841# -2.3 CRUDE-OIL REFINING 6/26 thous. of bbl./day 15,750 15,685# 2.0 COAL 6/19 thous. of net tons 21,189# 21,301 5.7 LUMBER 6/19 millions of ft. 600.8# 578.9r 16.7 RAIL FREIGHT 6/19 billions of ton-miles 30.8# 29.1 4.8

Sources: American Iron & Steel Institute, Ward's Automotive Reports, Edison Electric Institute, American Petroleum Institute, Energy Dept., WWPA, SFPA, Association of American Railroads

LEADING INDICATORS LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

ECRI LEADING INDEX 6/18 1992=100 132.3 132.7 6.0 STOCK PRICES 6/25 S&P 500 1134.4 1135.0 16.2 CORPORATE BOND YIELD, Aaa 6/25 6.0% 6.0% 14.6 MONEY SUPPLY, M2 6/14 billions $6,275.0 $6,264.6r 3.8 INITIAL CLAIMS, UNEMPLOYMENT 6/26 thous. 351 350r -19.1 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, PURCHASE 6/26 435.4 454.5 -0.7 MORTGAGE APPLICATIONS, REFINANCE 6/26 1386.9 1454.6 -83.9

Sources: Economic Cycle Research Institute, Standard & Poor's, Moody's, Federal Reserve, Labor Dept., Mortgage Bankers Assn. (Index: March 16, 1990=100)

PRICES LATEST WEEK YEARLY WEEK AGO% CHG

GOLD 6/30 $/troy oz. 395.800 393.900 13.0 STEEL SCRAP 6/30 #1 heavy, $/ton 150.00 150.00 42.6 COPPER 6/25 cents/lb. 125.1 123.9 56.0 ALUMINUM 6/25 cents/lb. 84.8 82.0 28.9 COTTON 6/25 strict low middling 1-1/16 in., cents/lb. 54.75 57.53 0.6 OIL 6/30 $/bbl. 36.96 37.49 22.7 CRB FOODSTUFFS 6/29 1967=100 273.17 278.55 5.3 CRB RAW INDUSTRIALS 6/29 1967=100 305.25 303.48 30.1

Sources: London Wednesday final setting, Institute of Scrap Recycling Industries, Metals Week, Memphis market, NYMEX, Commodity Research Bureau

FOREIGN EXCHANGE LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

BRAZILIAN REAL 6/30 3.0850 3.1093 2.8350 BRITISH POUND 6/30 1.82 1.82 1.66 CANADIAN DOLLAR 6/30 1.33 1.36 1.35 EUROPEAN EURO 6/30 1.2199 1.2093 1.1563 JAPANESE YEN 6/30 108.77 108.50 119.43 KOREAN WON 6/30 1155.5 1159.8 1191.0 MEXICAN PESO 6/30 11.487 11.330 10.440 TRADE-WEIGHTED DOLLAR INDEX 6/30 94.2 94.4 96.3

Sources: Major New York banks. Currencies expressed in units per U.S. dollar, except for British Pound and European Euro in dollars. Trade-weighted dollar via J.P. Morgan.

INTEREST RATES LATEST WEEK YEAR WEEK AGO AGO

FEDERAL FUNDS 6/29 1.13% 1.00% 1.45% COMMERCIAL PAPER 6/28 3-month 1.43 NA 1.01 CERTIFICATES OF DEPOSIT 6/29 3-month 1.56 1.44 1.05 FIXED MORTGAGE 6/25 30-year 6.37 6.46 5.47 ADJUSTABLE MORTGAGE 6/25 one-year 4.30 4.35 3.72 PRIME 6/29 4.25 4.00 4.25

Sources: Federal Reserve, HSH Associates, Bloomberg Financial Markets

# Raw data in the production indicators are seasonally adjusted in computing the BW index (chart); other components (estimated and not listed) include machinery and defense equipment. 1=Western Wood Products Assn. 2=Southern Forest Products Assn. 3=Free market value NA=Not available r=revised NM=Not meaningful



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