Get Four
Free Issues

Subscribe to BW
Customer Service


Full Table of Contents
Cover Story
Up Front
Readers Report
Corrections & Clarifications
Books
Technology & You
Economic Viewpoint
Business Outlook
News: Analysis & Commentary
In Business This Week



Washington Outlook
International Business
International Outlook
Information Technology
Science & Technology
Developments to Watch
People
Sports Business
Finance
The Corporation
Management
Economics
BusinessWeek Investor
Dividends
The Barker Portfolio
Inside Wall Street
Figures of the Week
Editorials


INTERNATIONAL EDITIONS
International -- Int'l Cover Story
International -- Readers Report
International -- Asian Business
International -- European Business
International -- Latin America
International -- Finance
International -- Int'l Figures of the Week
International -- Editorials




JULY 14, 2003
INSIDE WALL STREET

Tractor's Fertile Soil

Cultivating Growth Tractor Supply (TSCO ) might sound dull, but this little-known farm-and-ranch outfitter is a winner on Wall Street. With 433 stores in 30 states, Tractor caters to part-time and hobby farmers, selling small tractors, animal and pet food, and garden tools. The company exploits niche markets where Wal-Mart and Home Depot (HD ) don't tread. As a result, sales and earnings have blossomed. And Tractor's stock has shot up from 30 in early March to 47.41 on July 1.


Has it peaked? Not quite, say fans. When Tractor hit 60 a year ago, the stock split 2-for-1. Now, some analysts predict another split: They see the stock hitting 60 again -- sometime in 2003. Tractor's "competitive landscape and unit growth prospects are among the most favorable" in specialty retail, says Jenny Hubbard of Avondale Partners. She says Tractor is undervalued: Among its peers, the average price-earnings ratio is 17. Tractor trades at 14.8 times Hubbard's 2004 estimate of $3.16 and 17 times her 2003 figure of $2.75. Tractor earned $1.92 a share in 2002. First-quarter sales surged 41%, to $273.8 million, and 2003 sales could total $1.3 billion to $1.4 billion, vs. 2002's $1.2 billion. Tractor is in a much earlier stage of growth than most other retailers, she notes, "and with a market cap approaching $1 billion [now $882 million], it will gain more institutional interest."

John Lawrence of Morgan Keegan, who rates the stock "outperform," says that by "simply listening to customer demands," Tractor keeps its inventory "fresh and relevant."


Unless otherwise noted, neither the sources cited in Inside Wall Street nor their firms hold positions in the stocks under discussion. Similarly, they have no investment banking or other financial relationships with them.



BY GENE G. MARCIAL


Get BusinessWeek directly on your desktop with our RSS feeds.XML

Add BusinessWeek news to your Web site with our headline feed.

Click to buy an e-print or reprint of a BusinessWeek or BusinessWeek Online story or video.

To subscribe online to BusinessWeek magazine, please click here.

Learn more, go to the BusinessWeekOnline home page

Back to Top



  MARKET INFO
DJIA 0 0.00
S&P 500 0 0.00
Nasdaq 0 0.00

Portfolio Service Update

Stock Lookup

Enter name or ticker



Media Kit | Special Sections | MarketPlace | Knowledge Centers
Bloomberg L.P.