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Current BW Magazine Table of Contents

December 31, 2001 BW Magazine Table of Contents

December 31, 2001 Where to Invest Table of Contents

INVESTMENT OUTLOOK 2002
Introduction

The Framework

Strategies for Stocks & Bonds

The Investment Spectrum

The Investment Scoreboard

Plus:
The Barker Portfolio

Inside Wall Street

COLUMNS FORUMS NEWSLETTERS PERSONAL FINANCE SEARCH SPECIAL REPORTS TOOLS VIDEO VIEWS

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DECEMBER 31, 2001

WHERE TO INVEST -- STRATEGIES FOR STOCKS & BONDS
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Income vs. Growth Stocks? It's Closer Than You Think

As long as you reinvest the dividends, income stocks can deliver returns
competitive with growth stocks. The following example compares what you'd get
by investing $10,000 in a high-dividend stock, the banking giant J.P. Morgan
Chase, and Tyco International, a growth-oriented conglomerate with only a
token dividend. We used the company's current dividend to estimate the divi-
dend yield for the first year and historical dividend payout trends to esti-
mate how fast their dividends will grow. For stock price appreciation, we
assumed stock prices would grow at two-thirds of the Wall Street analysts'
five-year estimated earnings growth rate.


J.P. MORGAN CHASE* YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 YEAR 4 YEAR 5

VALUE OF STOCK REINVESTING DIVIDEND $10,000 $11,189 $12,575 $14,134 $15,886

(VALUE OF DIVIDEND BEFORE REINVESTING) 360 455 512 575 646



TYCO INTERNATIONAL** YEAR 1 YEAR 2 YEAR 3 YEAR 4 YEAR 5

VALUE OF STOCK REINVESTING DIVIDEND 10,000 11,200 12,544 14,049 15,735

(VALUE OF DIVIDEND BEFORE REINVESTING) 5 6 6 7 8

By the fifth year, the total value of the J.P. Morgan Chase investment would exceed that in Tyco International.

* 3.6% current dividend yield; 13.0% annual dividend growth; 8.0% annual capital appreciation ** 0.05% current dividend yield; 0% annual dividend growth; 12% annual capital appreciation

Data: BusinessWeek, Thomson Financial/First Call






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