| NAME/Firm | Percent Change in Real GDP
Annual Rate
| 4-Qtr. percent change GDP | CPI | Federal Funds Rate | 10-yr. Treasury Yields | Jobless Rate |
| 2001
IV | 2002
I |
II |
III |
IV
| 2002 4Q/
2001 4Q | 2002 4Q/
2001 4Q | 2002 IV | 2002 IV | 2002 IV |
|
| ROBERT DiCLEMENTE Citigroup | 1.8 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 2.50 | 5.55 | 5.5 |
|
| RICHARD D. RIPPE Prudential Securities | 2.0 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 2.9 | 3.50 | 5.50 | 5.8 |
|
| JOEL L. NAROFF Naroff Economic Advisors | 1.6 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 4.2 | 2.6 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 3.75 | 5.75 | 4.8 |
|
| PETER E. KRETZMER Banc of America Securities | 0.9 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 4.6 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 3.80 | 5.60 | 5.7 |
|
| DAVID L. LITTMANN Comerica Bank | 1.8 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 2.50 | 5.25 | 5.5 |
|
| RICHARD YAMARONE Argus Research | 0.9 | 2.1 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 4.50 | 5.70 | 5.1 |
|
| MICHAEL R. ENGLUND Standard & Poor's MMS | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 3.00 | 5.25 | 6.2 |
|
| DIANE C. SWONK Bank One | 2.0 | 0.1 | 3.8 | 5.0 | 4.6 | 3.4 | 2.0 | 3.00 | 5.10 | 6.1 |
|
| DANIEL E. LAUFENBERG American Express Fin. Advisors | 1.6 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 3.00 | 5.30 | 5.5 |
|
| ROBERT McGEE Tokai Bank | 0.5 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 2.31 | 5.87 | 6.4 |
|
| TIM O'NEILL Bank of Montreal/Harris Bank | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 2.85 | 5.90 | 5.6 |
|
| IAN SHEPHERDSON High Frequency Economics | 1.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 3.00 | 5.75 | 7.3 |
|
| J. PRAKKEN & C. VARVARES Macroeconomic Advisers | 2.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 3.67 | 5.34 | 5.8 |
|
| DAVID RESLER Nomura Securities International | 1.2 | 2.4 | 3.8 | 3.4 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 1.50 | 5.25 | 5.7 |
|
| ROBERT SHROUDS DuPont | 1.4 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 2.25 | 5.00 | 5.9 |
|
| STEPHEN GALLAGHER Sociιtι Gιnιrale | 1.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.60 | 5.60 | 5.7 |
|
| BRUCE STEINBERG Merrill Lynch | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 2.65 | 5.25 | 6.1 |
|
| THOMAS W. SYNNOTT U.S. Trust | 0.0 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 2.25 | 5.20 | 6.0 |
|
| RICHARD J. DEKASER National City | 1.6 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 3.51 | 5.60 | 5.8 |
|
| KEN MAYLAND ClearView Economics | 1.1 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 2.62 | 5.42 | 5.9 |
|
| DAVID W. BERSON Fannie Mae | 2.4 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 3.25 | 5.03 | 5.7 |
|
| BILL CHENEY John Hancock Financial Services | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 5.6 |
|
| PETER HOOPER Deutsche Banc Alex. Brown | 1.5 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 4.2 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 2.50 | 5.00 | 6.1 |
|
| MICHAEL MORAN Daiwa Securities America | 1.0 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 4.00 | 5.50 | 5.8 |
|
| RICHARD BERNER Morgan Stanley | 1.7 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 2.88 | 4.85 | 6.3 |
|
| CONSTANTINE G. SORAS Biovest International | 1.7 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 3.41 | 5.47 | 5.7 |
|
| LAWRENCE GOODMAN Globalecon | 0.7 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 2.50 | 5.80 | 5.7 |
|
| JOHN LONSKI Moody's Investors Service | 0.2 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 3.08 | 5.60 | 5.5 |
|
| MICHAEL P. NIEMIRA Bank of TokyoMitsubishi | 0.9 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 3.80 | 5.40 | 5.8 |
|
| ROBERT H. SCHNORBUS J.D. Power & Associates | 2.1 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 2.50 | 5.10 | 6.5 |
|
| CHRISTOPHER LOW First Tennessee Capital Markets | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.75 | 4.70 | 5.8 |
|
| SUNG WON SOHN Wells Fargo | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 2.8 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.25 | 6.25 | 5.4 |
|
| JOSEPH LIRO Stone & McCarthy Research | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 1.96 | 6.00 | 5.6 |
|
| MAURY HARRIS UBS Warburg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.60 | 5.00 | 6.2 |
|
| S. SLIFER & E. HARRIS Lehman Brothers | 2.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 3.25 | 5.00 | 6.4 |
|
| GAIL FOSLER The Conference Board | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 3.47 | 5.16 | 6.2 |
|
| NICHOLAS S. PERNA Perna Associates | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.50 | 5.60 | 6.5 |
|
| MARK ZANDI Economy.com | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 3.70 | 5.60 | 6.2 |
|
| GENE HUANG Federal Express | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3.7 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.50 | 4.50 | 6.0 |
|
| IAN MORRIS HSBC Bank USA | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.10 | 5.25 | 6.3 |
|
| WAYNE ANGELL Angell Capital | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.75 | 4.00 | 6.5 |
|
| ANTHONY CHAN Banc One Investment Advisors | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.00 | 5.05 | 6.4 |
|
| J. COOPER & K. MADIGAN BusinessWeek | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.00 | 5.10 | 6.7 |
|
| WILLIAM C. DUNKELBERG Natl. Fed. of Indep. Business | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 2.7 | 1.50 | 4.80 | 6.0 |
|
| STUART G. HOFFMAN PNC Financial Services | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.40 | 5.05 | 5.9 |
|
| DAVID LEREAH National Association of Realtors | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.50 | 5.10 | 6.0 |
|
| DAVID ORR Wachovia | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.13 | 5.20 | 6.5 |
|
| JOSHUA SHAPIRO Maria Fiorini Ramierez | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 2.7 | 3.7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 2.50 | 5.75 | 6.4 |
|
| KEVIN LOGAN Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2.00 | 5.20 | 6.3 |
|
| JAMES PAULSEN Wells Capital Management | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.40 | 4.00 | 6.2 |
|
| STEVEN WOOD FinancialOxygen | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 3.30 | 5.10 | 6.3 |
|
| WILLIAM C. DUDLEY Goldman Sachs | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.50 | 4.30 | 6.8 |
|
| ROBERT A. BRUSCA Ecobest Consulting | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 6.4 |
|
| KURT KARL Swiss Re | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 3.25 | 5.30 | 6.4 |
|
| ALLEN SINAI Decision Economics | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.64 | 4.97 | 6.2 |
|
| JIM COONS Huntington National Bank | 2.6 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3.50 | 5.40 | 6.2 |
|
| LYNN MICHAELIS Weyerhaeuser | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 6.6 |
|
| DONALD STRASZHEIM Straszheim Global Advisors | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 2.25 | 5.50 | 7.0 |
|
| JOHN POPE Investment Economics | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 2.05 | 5.70 | 6.5 |
|
| CONSENSUS | 1.1% | 0.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% |
Copyright 2001 , by The McGraw-Hill Companies Inc. All rights reserved.
