SEPTEMBER 24, 2004
Advice from Standard and Poors
WORD ON THE STREET

Citigroup Upgrades XTO Energy to Buy
Analyst Gil Yang sees higher U.S. gas prices in the long term

Citigroup upgraded XTO Energy (XTO ) to buy from hold.


Analyst Gil Yang says he raised the long-term forecast for natural gas in the U.S. to $5 per Mcf from $4 per Mcf based on his analysis of marginal production costs in the U.S. He says the new commodity price deck assumes natural gas prices of $6 per Mcf in 2005, and $5 per Mcf beginning in 2006. He notes the global oil team has raised their WTI price forecasts to $36 per barrel beginning in 2006. As a result, he raised price targets across the board by 14% on average in his universe, based on new commodity price deck assumptions.




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