OCTOBER 18, 2002

Advice from Standard and Poors
WORD ON THE STREET

Merrill Reduces Scientific-Atlantic to 'Sell'
Analyst Tal Liani notes industry declines and falling prices for the high-speed Internet access market

 
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Merrill Lynch downgraded Scientific-Atlantic (SFA ) to sell from neutral.


Analyst Tal Liani says he was surprised by the first quarter results from the maker of high-speed internet gear and cable set top boxes. He notes the results included $14 million in one-off revenue in Germany. He says he had thought negative trends were already priced into the company's stock. Liani says he thinks Scientific-Atlantic is a great company, adding that it has a 40% share of the market.

However, Liani says the bottom line is that the industry is declining, and average selling prices are falling and internet networking is no longer in the heyday of market penetration. He doesnt' see a recovery on the horizon. He cut his $0.85 fiscal 2003 (June) earnings per share estimate to $0.45, and trimmed the $0.72 fiscal 2004 estimate to $0.33. He says he is ignoring the high cash flow because this is often a phenomena of declining revenues.




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