Where will the earnings growth be in 2008? According to statistics compiled by Standard & Poor's Chief Investment Strategist Sam Stovall, mid-caps are in the sweet spot for growth and valuation.
Based on earnings estimates by S&P equity analysts, mid-cap stocks (those in the S&P MidCap 400 index) should post profit growth of 15.8% this year, compared with an earnings growth estimate of only 7.9% for the S&P 500 index. While the price-to-earnings ratio for the mid-cap index is slightly higher—17.9 vs. 15.7 for the "500"—the p-e-to-growth ratio is identical for both indexes at 1.3.
"Mid-cap stocks have less exposure to subprime mortgages, and many of them are initiating or adding to dividends—even as some large-cap stocks cut their dividend payments," says Stovall.
What's the best way for investors to identify attractive mid-cap dividend stocks? One approach is to use S&P's Stock Appreciation Ranking System, or STARS. For this week's screen, we looked for dividend-paying stocks in the S&P MidCap 400 that also carried S&P STARS rankings of 4 STARS (buy) or 5 STARS (strong buy). Stocks with those designations are expected by S&P equity analysts to outperform the broader market on a total return basis during the next 12 months, with the shares rising in price on an absolute basis.
All of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the research analyst's personal views regarding any and all of the subject securities or issuers. No part of analyst compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this research report. Standard & Poor's Regulatory Disclosure
Any advice, analysis, or recommendations contained in articles labeled "Insight from Standard & Poor's" reflect the views of Standard & Poor's, which operates separately from and independently of BusinessWeek Online. It is possible that BWOL may from time to time publish information that is not consistent with advice, analysis, or recommendations that are published by Standard & Poor's. Standard & Poor's and BusinessWeek Online are each units of The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc.