Equity strategists have rhapsodized about the strong earnings performance of U.S. companies, with Standard & Poor's 500-stock index posting 18 consecutive quarters of 10%-plus earnings growth. Opinions are divided as to whether the string may be broken with the 2006 fourth quarter.
The market's trepidation about the double-digit streak got us to thinking: Why worry? Why not look for stocks that have broken the 10% barrier without breaking a sweat over the long term? Or the 20% barrier, for that matter? We decided to aim even higher for this week's screen.
To find these overachievers, we scoured the S&P database. We searched for those issues with five-year histories of 25%-plus growth rates in three essential categories: earnings per share, sales, and return on equity, a widely followed measure of how efficiently a company deploys its capital.
To avoid speculative issues, we screened for stocks priced above $5.00 per share, and with market capitalizations of more than $1 billion.
And to ensure that these stocks were attractive from a valuation standpoint, we made them jump through one final hoop. We turned to S&P's Fair Value Model, which calculates a stock's weekly Fair Value—the price at which it should trade at current market levels—based on fundamental data such as corporate earnings and growth potential, price-to-book value, return on equity, and current yield relative to the S&P 500. We set our last filter to catch those issues with a Fair Value ranking of 5, which indicates that it is significantly undervalued vs. the entire universe of stocks in the Fair Value model.
When we finished crunching the numbers, a half-dozen names turned up:
| Company
|
|---|
| Aeropostale (ARO)
|
| Chesapeake Energy (CHK)
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| Coach (COH)
|
| Cognizant Technology Solutions (CTSH)
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| Headwaters (HW)
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| Zimmer Holdings (ZMH) |
Kaye, a chartered financial analyst, is an analyst for Standard & Poor's Portfolio Services. He is the author of The Standard & Poor's Guide to the Perfect Portfolio: Five Steps to Allocate Your Assets and Ensure a Lifetime of Wealth.
All of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect the research analyst's personal views regarding any and all of the subject securities or issuers. No part of analyst compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this research report. Standard & Poor's Regulatory Disclosure
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