So Goes January SO Goes The Year – Hope not

Posted by: Howard Silverblatt on January 29, 2010

Of the 82 Januarys in the history of S&P 500 from 1929 (through 2009), 52 have been positive and 29 have been negative. Of the 52 gains, 42 were positive for the entire year and 9 were down (1947 was flat). Of the 29 January’s that were down, 18 of those were down for the year and 11 were up. The result is that 60 of 81 (74.1%) Januarys ended the full year in the same direction as it opened, and 21 did not (25.9%). With this January down 3.70%, the odds are not with us, but that didn’t stop last year when January was 8.57% down and the year posted a 23.45% gain.

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Reader Comments

Alex Stewart

January 29, 2010 8:55 PM

Very interesting study. Good work!

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About

Bloomberg Businessweek’s Ben Steverman focuses on the latest moves in financial markets and emerging trends in stocks, bonds, and funds, always with an eye toward giving readers a better understanding of the sometimes confusing and often chaotic world of money. Standard & Poor’s senior index analyst Howard Silverblatt will also provide his take on companies’ finances and the markets. Voted one of the “Top 100 Finance Blogs” in 2007.

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