Gold Hits a Five-Month High

Posted by: Ben Levisohn on September 2, 2009

After months of stagnation, gold is poised for a breakout. The precious metal rose over 22 points to close up 2.3% today, the biggest move since March. Strangely, there seems to be no solid reason for gold’s sudden rise. The Wall Street Journal calls it a “safety-play.” MarketWatch blamed economic data. Reuters attributed the rise to a weak dollar. And Bloomberg cited investor demand.

They’re all grasping at straws. The dollar dropped only .4% and stayed within its recent range. Inflation, another common reason for investor’s to buy gold, appears to be under control - at least for the time being. And the stock market, barely budged after yesterday’s drop.

Action Economics, which provides online interest rate and currency analysis, said:

Sources suggest that a couple large macro funds have been persistent buyers following a bullish research piece by a prominent investment bank.

Whatever the reason, gold is approaching an inflection point. As Barclays Capital noted:

A break of 976 would appear to confirm a bull run, initially targeting 1033… Historically, the time is ripe for a sustained advance, as recent bull trends have occurred in odd numbered years, with breakouts occurring during September.

Is it time to get ready for a gold rush?

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About

Bloomberg Businessweek’s Ben Steverman focuses on the latest moves in financial markets and emerging trends in stocks, bonds, and funds, always with an eye toward giving readers a better understanding of the sometimes confusing and often chaotic world of money. Standard & Poor’s senior index analyst Howard Silverblatt will also provide his take on companies’ finances and the markets. Voted one of the “Top 100 Finance Blogs” in 2007.

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