ISSUE DATE: OCTOBER 9, 2000
BW Magazine
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COVER STORY

The Next Downturn
Will a New Economy bust follow the New Economy boom?
      COVER IMAGE: The Next Downturn
      The Outlook for Tech
         CHART: Engines of Growth
         CHART: Those Punishing Tech Gyrations
      Book Adaptation: The Next Downturn
         CHART: Venture Capital Has Rocketed...And Swings With the Market
         TABLE: How the Tech Cycle Plays Out
         CHART: Foreign Money Powers the Investment Boom
         CHART: Tech Dominates Capital Spending
      Commentary: The Case for Optimism
 

FRONTIER

Frontier
In our latest supplement for entrepreneurs and small business: Those soaring salaries; Small-biz voter's guide; Quashing family feuds; and lots more  

UP FRONT

  Talk Show
  AOL's Very Own Cecil B.?
  CPAs Hitch a Ride with Truckers
  Kellogg Spurts into the Lead
  Women's Work
      TABLE: Female Executives on Wall Street
  Wal-Mart's Grape Expectations
      PHOTO: Chateau Bentonville
  World Wide Window-Shoppers
  Puerto Rico: ''Send Ballot Boxes''
  CHART: School Rules
  Footnotes
 

READERS REPORT

Weighing In on ''Working Moms''
Another Look at Ford's Finger-Pointing
Giving Good Corporate Citizenship Its Due
Old Gas Wells: A Missed Opportunity
Update the Tax Code for the Two-Earner Family
 

CORRECTIONS & CLARIFICATIONS

''This baby-infection test is ready for long pants'' (Developments to Watch, Sept. 18, 2000)
 

BOOKS

Will the Dragon Roar Again?
      PHOTO: Cover, ''Thunder From the East''
Donald's Clan
      PHOTO: Cover, ''The Trumps''
Microsoft Wars
      PHOTO: Cover, ''U.S. v. Microsoft''
By Business Week Writers
The Business Week Best-Seller List
 

TECHNOLOGY & YOU

When Software Wreaks Havoc
      TABLE: As You Install New Software...
 

ECONOMIC VIEWPOINT

  Time for a Shakeup at the Business Roundtable
 

ECONOMIC TRENDS

  Investors Rate Multinationals
      CHART: Corporate America's Drive to Globalize
  Minimum Wage: A Hike Won't Hurt
      CHART: Wage Pressure from Below?
  Mom's Key Role in Kids' Health
 

BUSINESS OUTLOOK

  U.S.: What If the Greenback Suddenly Gets Sick?
      CHART: The Trade Deficit Widens Further
      CHART: Confidence Ticked Up in September
      CHART: Order Books Remain Full
Oil Prices May Hurt Britain, Too
      CHART: Britain's Trade Gap Hits a Record High
 

NEWS: ANALYSIS & COMMENTARY

  Commentary: Oil: A Modest Proposal for the U.S.
      TABLE: Prescriptions for the Short Term
      TABLE: Prescriptions for the Long Term
      Green Power Is Gaining Ground
         TABLE: Front Runners in the Race for Renewable Energy
  Commentary: OPEC: An Uncertain Grip on the Spigot
  Commentary: Workers Are Doing Well, but Will It Last?
      CHART: How American Familes Are Faring
  This Futures Exchange Isn't about Soybeans
      TABLE: Iowa's Savvy Bettors Go for Al and Hillary
  Commentary: Will Kodak's Carp Miss His Photo Op?
      CHART: Not a Pretty Picture
  The Tight Squeeze at Chrysler
      TABLE: Where It's Starting to Hurt
  Commentary: What Does John Malone Really Want?
 

IN BUSINESS THIS WEEK

  Alfred Taubman: A Good Deal at Sotheby's
  Inflation: Fixing a Numbers Glitch
  Corning Gets a Clearer Vision
  Palm and 3Com Do Better Alone
  A Leukemia Drug Levitates a Biotech
  Net Giants AOL and NTT Make a Deal
  Et Cetera...
  Dive Bomber
      CHART: Priceline.com Stock Price
 

WASHINGTON OUTLOOK

  Who's Losing the Presidential Race? The Pollsters
  Quid Pro Quo?
  The GOP Lacks Interest
 

INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS

  Europe's Competition Equalizer
      TABLE: How Monti Targets Mergers in the New Economy
  Western Banks to Russia: All Is Forgiven
      CHART: Tempting Yields
Commentary: Europe's Perilous Leadership Vacuum
  Was There a Cover-Up at Mitsubishi?
 

INTERNATIONAL OUTLOOK

  Taiwan: Chen's Weakness May Keep the Straits Tense
  Coming Shakeup in Poland?
  Iran Reaches Out
 

INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS

Wages of Hatred
      TABLE: The Ethnic Chinese and the Indonesian Economy
      CHART: Indonesia Struggles
      Keeping an Angry Eye on Indonesia (int'l edition)
 

PEOPLE

Microsoft's High Court Houdini
      RESUME: Carter G. Phillips
 

SPORTS BUSINESS

  I've Got the Horse Right Here
      TABLE: Ponying Up
      How to Get Some Horse Sense
 

THE CORPORATION

  Fleetwood: Not a Happy Camper Company
      CHART: Fleetwood: Downwardly Mobile
 

MEDIA

Look Who's After Napster
      CHART: Music Wars
      Why More Schools Are Expelling Napster
 

WORKING LIFE

That's It, I'm Outta Here
      TABLE: Bosses, Brace Yourselves. Employees Are...
 

SOCIAL ISSUES

  Commentary: From Welfare to Worsefare?
      CHART: Life Still Looks Grim
      TABLE: Families Are Squeezed Harder in a Booming Economy
 

LEGAL AFFAIRS

  About Extortion or Abortion?
      TABLE: Courtroom Drama
      RESUME: James Scott Pendergraft IV
 

SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY

  Deadly Molds May Have Met Their Match
      TABLE: Adding to the Arsenal
 

DEVELOPMENTS TO WATCH

  A Virus in Armor Could Be a Boon to Nanomedicine
      PHOTO: 'Armored' Virus
  This Gene Puzzle May Be Simpler Than We Thought
  Getting a Jump on Diabetes
  A Killer App for Bees: Delivering Fungicide
 

MARKETING

  Commentary: Procter & Gamble: Just Say No to Drugs
      TABLE: P&G's Pipsqueak
 

GOVERNMENT

Medicines without Borders
      TABLE: Cheaper Drugs Are Just across the Border
Political Fund-Raising: Any Which Way They Can
  Commentary: Social Security Will Play the Market
  For the Fed, the Downside of Being Debt-Free
 

SPECIAL REPORT

At the Speed of Light
      TABLE: The Emerging Optical Network
      TABLE: The Optical Elite
      Keeping Nortel's Pedal to the Metal
      ''The World's Most Glamorous Cottage Industry''
      The Leading Light of Fiber Optics
      How High Can Optical Stocks Fly?
         CHART: Riding High
         TABLE: See the Light
      Photo Essay: Paving the Information Highway
 

THE BEST OF BUSINESS WEEK ONLINE

  The Big Kahuna of B2B Exchanges?
      VerticalNet Divides Itself to Conquer
  Online Banking: The Nightmare
  A New Beat at the Hard Rock
  Why So Many Are Giving So Much
      CHART: Donations Hit a 30-Year High
 

MANAGEMENT

Legacy of a B-School Legend
      RESUME: Donald Jacobs
A Trip to the Deans' Office
  Can iWon Keep Winning?
      TABLE: iWon's Playbook
 

FINANCE

Mutual Funds: ''There's Been a Sobering Up''
      TABLE: The Best Funds
      TABLE: The Worst Funds
      TABLE: Small Gains at Big Funds
      TABLE: Bond-Fund Leaders
      TABLE: How the Fund Groups Fared
Commentary: This ''Full Disclosure'' Rule Could Mean More Secrets
 

BUSINESSWEEK LIFESTYLE

A Better Way to Float Your Resume
      TABLE: www.Where the Jobs Are
''I'm a Temp--And Your CFO''
      TABLE: Got the Right Stuff?
      TABLE: Online Talent Agents
Three Simple Steps to the Top
      RESUME: Pamela Thomas-Graham
When Your Job Doesn't Fit
      TABLE: Making the Right Choice
      TABLE: Finding the Career Experts
 

BUSINESSWEEK INVESTOR

Safely Cracking the Nest Egg Early
      TABLE: Pain-Free Withdrawals
      How Raiding Your IRA Can Pay Off Later
 

BW INVESTOR -- THE BARKER PORTFOLIO

Small, Prosaic--and Promising
      TABLE: Specialists in the Little Guys
 

BW INVESTOR -- INSIDE WALL STREET

Hercules Unleashed?
      CHART: The Chemistry Hasn't Been Good
The Squabble over Southwest Gas
      CHART: Heating Up Nicely
Going After Maxtor
      CHART: Needs Some Cranking Up
 

FIGURES OF THE WEEK

  Figures of the Week (.pdf)
      Production Index Components
      HISTORICAL DATA: BW Index Back to 1992
 

EDITORIALS

  Are We Headed for a Tech-Led Recession?
 

INTERNATIONAL -- SPOTLIGHT ON GUYANA

Border Feuds May Prove Costly...And Cries of ''Sell-Out'' Resound (int'l edition)
      MAP: Guyana
 

INTERNATIONAL -- LETTER FROM BURNING MAN

Revel with a Cause (int'l edition)
      MAP: Nevada
 

INTERNATIONAL -- READERS REPORT

Learning to Operate in a Climate of Global Scrutiny (int'l edition)
Be Careful Not to Outsource Your Core Competency (int'l edition)
 

INTERNATIONAL -- ASIAN BUSINESS

A Cover-Up at Mitsubishi? (int'l edition)
      TABLE: Diamante in the Rough?
 

INTERNATIONAL -- EUROPEAN BUSINESS

Europe's Competition Equalizer (int'l edition)
      TABLE: How Monti Targets Mergers in the New Economy
  The Party May Be Over for Carmakers (int'l edition)
      CHART: Europe's Auto Makers: Slowdown Ahead?
 

INTERNATIONAL -- LATIN AMERICAN BUSINESS

This Supply Sider Is Riding High (int'l edition)
      MAP: Argentina
      TABLE: A Standout Province
The Greenback Looks Like Good Medicine (int'l edition)
      CHART: Dollar Magic in Ecuador
 

INTERNATIONAL -- FINANCE

Western Banks to Russia: All Is Forgiven (int'l edition)
      CHART: Tempting Yields
      TABLE: Is It Safe Yet?
Deutsche Bank's Mr. Harmony? (int'l edition)
      TABLE: Profile of a Banker
Sinking Dollar Down Under (int'l edition)
      CHART: Fast Slide
 

INTERNATIONAL -- PEOPLE

  Friend of the Poor--or Evil Capitalist? (int'l edition)
      TABLE: Why the Activists Are Angry
 

INTERNATIONAL -- INT'L FIGURES OF THE WEEK

International Figures of the Week (.pdf) (int'l edition)
 

ARTICLES PREVIOUSLY PUBLISHED IN INTERNATIONAL EDITIONS

OCTOBER 2, 2000
  Letter From Vermont: A Farm of His Own

  Severe Oil Shock

  Tony's Fall From Grace

  Bye-Bye Babushkas

  Hugo Chavez, OPEC Honcho?



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