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DECEMBER 28, 2000

HOT JOBS

Career Outlook, 2001
What will the coming year's hiring trends be? Here are some fearless forecasts from a panel of experts. Part Two of a two-part series

 
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Career Outlook, 2001

Despite reported job cutbacks at a few major U.S. corporations -- and worries about a possible recession -- the war for talent doesn't appear to have abated yet. Business Week Online asked a number of career experts to give us their outlook for the job market in 2001. We posed two questions: What will be the hot managerial and executive jobs next year? Why these? What follows is the second and final round of their comments. If you're looking for more predictions, check out Part One.

We'd like to hear your nominations for hot jobs in 2001! So, drop us a line with your predictions at careers@businessweek.com.

Jon Lindsey
managing partner at legal search firm Major, Hagen & Africa

America no longer makes TV sets or washing machines. Now we make ideas: software, entertainment, Web-related ways of doing business and accessing information. In law firms and in-house law departments, we expect strong demand for lawyers who can help turn intellectual property into money -- licensing, joint ventures, and the corporate aspects of patents, trademarks, and copyrights -- or who can help protect that property from others, either through litigation or filings of patents/trademarks/copyrights. Intellectual property lawyers with technical degrees -- electrical engineering, biochemistry, and the like - - are especially hard to find.

In addition, those with expertise in dealing with technology-related companies and in funding for those companies (private equity, venture capital, and -- if the market picks up -- IPOs) are also still very much in demand.

Law firms are also starting to beef up their bankruptcy and litigation departments in anticipation of an eventual downturn. Companies that in the past couldn't be bothered to bend over to grab the crumbs that had fallen from their tables will aggressively do so once the feast thins out.

We see demand in these areas across the country, but especially in high-tech centers: Northern California, New York, Northern Virginia, Boston, Denver, Austin, and even Atlanta with its growing sources of venture capital and other early-stage financing. The most important characteristics will be entrepreneurial instincts, team-building abilities, an embrace of technology, and willingness to work hard -- people who, as many of our clients put it, "get it."
Susan Bishop
president of executive search firm Bishop Partners

Broadband will open the doors to a whole array of new positions in content, distribution, and technology. It's all about speed. People working in this field will need to understand and listen to customers and be able to create new services and products that help them work faster and more efficiently.

The ideal broadband executive will have divided his or her career among network television, cable technology, advertising, and telecommunications. That's not an easy fit, so many companies will look for people with the best combination of those skill sets and then fill the remaining gaps with other members of the management team.
Peter Cappelli
George W. Taylor professor of management at the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania

Talent-management jobs will be hot -- retention managers, talent officers, learning executives -- as companies continue to discover that the best people are both crucial to their organization's performance and difficult to replace. As competitors figure out how to manage these things well, then everyone has to do it. In general, I think jobs associated with managing people will become more important, as long as the labor market remains reasonably tight.

Most organizations neglected these issues over the previous generation because, for the most part, the fear of unemployment offset bad management. But in a tight labor market, that is no longer true, and management problems are driving people out the door and into the arms of competitors. Also, I don't think educational background is so important, but job experience is. What employers want to see in job candidates is experience working for a well-run company.
Deborah L. Oliver
senior account manager at Management Recruiters of Portland

Our construction division is working with general contractors who can't keep up with the demand to build more chip plants for the microelectronics industry. In one week, I wrote 26 job orders for people who can build these plants. Having an engineering background is critical. You have to know how to create a "clean room" -- meaning that there's no dust, no particles, nothing floating in the air that could ruin the chips.

Generally, these candidates oversee all of the mechanical, electrical, and plumbing needs of the facility. Titles include mechanical supervisors, industrial engineers, and facility-operations managers. Projects usually last 18 months to two years. Sometimes people will stay on at the facility to oversee any expansions. Or they'll move on to the next site.

Chip plants aren't the only facilities that need experts to build clean rooms. Similar talent is needed at fiber-optic plants and biopharmaceutical labs. Talent is sparse. The ideal candidate has 8 to 10 years of experience. With that level of experience, they can make $80,000 to $120,000.
Ian Rosi
founder of Austin Power, a student-run organization at the University of Texas/Austin that familiarizes MBA students with Austin-area businesses

In Austin, wireless is exploding. Software companies are still looking for people. Telecom is big. And almost all Old Economy companies are doing e-business initiatives. Employers want people with product-marketing skills who can do something right away. They don't want to spend time training. Experience in "leveraged marketing" is in demand. These are post-sales marketers who work on boosting the popularity of their product at client companies.

Companies are always looking for salespeople and people with software experience. They also need product developers -- people who can identify what a customer might need three years from now and get it built.
David Parker
president and founder of executive search firm D.P. Parker and Associates

We see increased demand in the biotech/biopharmaceutical sector in 2001, for several reasons. First, the biotech industry is maturing. There are public companies that are beginning to transition from researching drugs to manufacturing them. That's creating openings in operations, marketing, regulatory affairs, quality, and sales. The key qualification for these positions is experience working in a highly regulated environment. Companies really need people who understand the specifications set down by the Food & Drug Administration.

In addition, investors and venture-capital firms are demanding that professional management be in place at private biotech companies before they commit money. They want to see experienced executives in place as the CEO, CFO, and so on who have successful track records in introducing new drugs to the marketplace. Typically, they're finding these execs at pharmaceutical companies, medical-devices makers, and consulting firms that focus on the biotech industry. We expect demand to be strong in the traditional biotech areas --- the Northeast, California, Raleigh/Durham in North Carolina, Seattle, and Austin, and other localized regions.
Alysa Polkes
director of the career-management center at UCLA's Anderson School

The most highly desirable employee will be able to apply new technologies to existing organizations. These will be individuals who can meld the strategic imperatives of their company with today's technological advances.

Related to this, I see the need for intrapreneurs and internal consultants with strong strategic-planning and critical-thinking skills to uncover new products, design targeted services, and reinvent conventional ways of doing business. For managerial and executive talent, I also see an important opportunity in the ability to instill company loyalty and a common sense of purpose (one of the attractions of the dot-coms). Industries to watch include biotech, pharmaceutical, and health care. Functional areas that hold promise include operations/supply-chain management, and info technology. The desire for individuals who can operate with ease in a global workplace will also grow.
Peter Felix
president of the Association for Executive Search Consultants

The challenging war for talent will continue to perplex top management. It's forcing CEOs to rethink their priorities and their approach to people management. Positions in the forefront are chief people officers and chief talent officers. The value of human capital is playing a critical role in the success at many companies.

Our statistics confirm the huge demand for talented leaders. This will continue as the forces at work in the economy sort the wheat from the chaff. Top managers will command higher and higher rewards. And they'll be able to set new parameters for motivation and retention of top talent.




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