MARCH 21, 2003

READER SURVEY RESULTS

Your Take on the Iraq War
Our readers split 42% for and 56% against President Bush's decision to attack Iraq, and they widely fear for U.S. ties abroad

 
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Once the war in Iraq is over, it will be critically important for the U.S. to provide a full accounting of Saddam Hussein's weapons of mass destruction. Even then, relations between the U.S. and its allies -- and between Americans and citizens of other countries -- will be in serious need of repair.


At least, that's the opinion of the 850 or so BusinessWeek Online readers -- more than 16% of whom live outside the U.S. -- who participated in our Mar. 17 Reader Survey.

Of those who took the survey, which spanned the three days before hostilities began and roughly the first 24 hours after, some 42% felt that the Bush Administration's decision to attack was justified, vs. the 56% who thought it wasn't.

USELESS INSPECTIONS.  A majority of respondents thought that one of the five primary reasons the Administration gave, directly or indirectly, for going to war made sense, with the highest number -- 27% -- citing the need to eliminate Iraq's weapons of mass destruction. Some 23% of those who participated thought that none of the Administration's reasons justified an attack. At the same time, though, 51% thought it unlikely that another month of U.N. arms inspections would have helped achieve any of the Administration's objectives.

Those who participated are curious about how close the U.S. will come to achieving its top goal of eliminating weapons of mass destruction, with 86% saying it's somewhat or very important to them to see a full accounting of Saddam's mass destruction arsenal once the war is over.

Logically, perhaps, readers seemed to have the most tolerance for a short war with little bloodshed, though they were also reasonably patient. Some 73% said the war can go on for two months before they think it will have lasted too long. More than 60% think that the conflict will have become too bloody if the number of deaths of Iraqi citizens, and of U.S. and British soldiers, reach beyond a few hundred.

WHAT WILL IT COST?  Readers were concerned that the war will increase terrorism in the U.S., with 67% saying terrorist attacks will become either more likely or much more likely. About 48% of those who responded think the U.S. is prepared to deal with that threat, while about 49% think it isn't.

Generally, readers seemed reluctant to spend a lot on the war, with nearly 30% saying the country should spend nothing on it, an unrealistic expectation. Only 14% said the U.S. should spend more than $100 billion, although 21% weren't sure how much should be spent. About 62% said they think the occupational force the U.S. leaves in Iraq should stay there for two years or less.

Those who participated are concerned about the impact of the war on relations between the U.S. and its allies: About 70% think those relations will deteriorate at least somewhat. Some 64% said they expect the war to hurt relations between citizens of America and those of other countries. These reactions may, in part, reflect opinions of the Bush Administration's handling of the Iraqi crisis during the buildup to war: About 60% of those who responded rated the Administration's pre-war performance bad or not very good, vs. the 31% who thought it was good or very good.

FAST IS GOOD.  Some 49% thought the President's frequently expressed religious beliefs had at least some impact on his decision to attack, while 32% thought his beliefs were a neutral factor.

Bottom line, 40% of those surveyed think the war is somewhat or very necessary, vs. the 59% who think it's at least somewhat unnecessary.

Nearly 57% of those who participated think that a quick resolution to the war will have a somewhat or very positive impact when it comes to snapping the economy out of its doldrums. However, 61% say they don't plan to change their spending plans after the war, and 55% say they won't change their stock-buying plans.

Here are the complete results of the survey, which as always was unscientific, since anyone who wished to could participate:

How justified will the U.S., Britain, and Spain be to attack Iraq without the explicit approval of the U.N. Security Council?
Option Total %  
Very justified 238 28.27 %
Somewhat justified 40 4.75 %
Justified enough to go war 72 8.55 %
Not very justified 136 16.15 %
Not justified at all 338 40.14 %
Not sure 18 2.14 %

Which of the following reasons that the Bush Administration has given for going to war do you think makes the most sense? (Please choose one):
Option Total %  
To find and destroy Saddam Hussein's weapons of mass destruction 230 27.41 %
To ensure U.S. access to Middle East oil 137 16.33 %
To liberate the Iraqi people from the dictatorship of Saddam Hussein 83 9.89 %
To prevent terrorism against the U.S. 94 11.2 %
To force regime change 80 9.54 %
Other 18 2.15 %
None 197 23.48 %

How likely do you think it is that another month or two of U.N. inspections would achieve the objective you chose in the previous question?
Option Total %  
Very likely 84 10.08 %
Somewhat likely 132 15.85 %
Neither more likely or less 72 8.64 %
Somewhat unlikely 63 7.56 %
Not likely at all 422 50.66 %
Don't know 60 7.20 %

Once the war is concluded, how important do you think it will be for the U.S. to provide the world with a full accounting of Saddam Hussein's weapons of mass destruction?
Option Total %  
Very important 614 73.27 %
Somewhat important 108 12.89 %
Not very important 47 5.61 %
Unimportant 52 6.21 %
Not sure 17 2.03 %

How long can war go on before you'll feel that it's taking too long?
Option Total %  
A few days 164 19.69 %
A few weeks 222 26.65 %
Two months or more 222 26.65 %
Six months or more 163 19.57 %
Not sure 62 7.44 %

How many U.S. and British soldiers can be killed in the war before you'll feel that casualties are too high?
Option Total %  
Any 259 31.13 %
Dozens 98 11.78 %
Hundreds 185 22.24 %
Thousands 179 21.51 %
Not sure 111 13.34 %

How many Iraqi civilians can be killed in the war before you'll feel that too many have died?
Option Total %  
Any 300 36.01 %
Dozens 72 8.64 %
Hundreds 136 16.33 %
Thousands 214 25.69 %
Not sure 111 13.33 %

Do you think the war will make terrorism in the U.S.:
Option Total %  
Much less likely 31 3.71 %
Less likely 93 11.12 %
Neither less nor more likely 128 15.31 %
More likely 219 26.2 %
Much more likely 342 40.91 %
Don't know 23 2.75 %

How prepared do you think the Bush Administration is to intercept/head off terrorism in the U.S.?
Option Total %  
Very prepared 76 9.10 %
Somewhat prepared 227 27.19 %
Prepared enough 95 11.38 %
Not prepared enough 304 36.41 %
Totally unprepared 102 12.22 %
Not sure 31 3.71 %

What's an acceptable amount for the U.S. to spend on the war?
Option Total %  
Nothing 246 29.5 %
No more than $10 billion 69 8.27 %
No more than $50 billion 98 11.75 %
No more than $100 billion 116 13.91 %
No more than $200 billion 47 5.64 %
More than $200 billion 81 9.71 %
Don't know 177 21.22 %

Once the war is over, how long should the U.S. maintain an occupational force in Iraq?
Option Total %  
Less than six months 227 27.38 %
Up to one year 135 16.28 %
Up to two years 153 18.46 %
Up to three years 52 6.27 %
Up to four years 39 4.70 %
More than four years 95 11.46 %
Don't know 128 15.44 %

Over the long term, what effect do you think a non-U.N.-sanctioned war in Iraq will have on relations between the U.S. and its allies including France, Germany, Russia, and China that now oppose the Bush Administration's desire to attack? Relations between the U.S. and its allies will:
Option Total %  
Improve significantly 24 2.87 %
Improve somewhat 59 7.06 %
Remain unchanged 145 17.34 %
Deteriorate somewhat 303 36.24 %
Deteriorate significantly 284 33.97 %
Not sure 21 2.51 %

Over the long term, what effect do you think a war in Iraq will have on relations between Americans and citizens of other countries? Relations between the two will:
Option Total %  
Improve significantly 26 3.11 %
Improve somewhat 77 9.21 %
Remain unchanged 171 20.45 %
Deteriorate somewhat 259 30.98 %
Deteriorate significantly 275 32.89 %
Not sure 28 3.35 %

Up to this point, how would you rate the Bush Administration's handling of the Iraqi crisis?
Option Total %  
Very good 134 16.03 %
Good 125 14.95 %
So-so 70 8.37 %
Not very good 104 12.44 %
Bad 400 47.85 %
Not sure 3 0.36 %

In his public comments on the Iraq crisis, President Bush frequently mentions his religion. How instrumental do you think his Christian beliefs are in his decision to attack or not? His beliefs are:
Option Total %  
A major factor in favor or an attack 202 24.28 %
Some factor in favor of an attack 209 25.12 %
A neutral factor 270 32.45 %
Some factor against an attack 28 3.37 %
A major factor against an attack 36 4.33 %
Not sure 87 10.46 %

Taking into account everything you know about the Iraq crisis, do you feel that a war at this time is:
Option Total %  
Very necessary 228 27.44 %
Somewhat necessary 103 12.39 %
Somewhat unnecessary 76 9.15 %
Unnecessary 412 49.58 %
Don't know 12 1.44 %

Assuming that the U.S. prevails quickly in Iraq, do you think the effect on the U.S. economy will be:
Option Total %  
Very positive 159 19.11 %
Somewhat positive 312 37.5 %
Neutral 100 12.02 %
Somewhat negative 137 16.47 %
Very negative 91 10.94 %
Not sure 33 3.97 %

If the U.S. prevails quickly in Iraq, what would the effect be on your spending plans for the next six months? Would you:
Option Total %  
Be likely to spend a lot more 34 4.08 %
Be likely to spend somewhat more 101 12.12 %
Not change your spending plans 505 60.62 %
Be likely to spend somewhat less 75 9.00 %
Be likely to spend a lot less 81 9.72 %
Not sure 37 4.44 %

If the U.S. prevails quickly in Iraq, what effect would it have on your investing plans? Would you:
Option Total %  
Be very likely to buy stocks 63 7.54 %
Be somewhat likely to buy stocks 128 15.33 %
Not change your investing plans 462 55.33 %
Be somewhat less likely to buy stocks 43 5.15 %
Be much less likely to buy stocks 79 9.46 %
Not sure 60 7.19 %

Do you live:
Option Total %  
In the U.S. 694 83.51 %
In another country 137 16.49 %




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