Now comes the hard part.
A bipartisan group of senators and Bush Administration officials gathered in the Capitol on May 17 to announce an 11th-hour meeting of minds on immigration reform. The proposed legislation, hammered out after months of closed-door negotiations, was unveiled with much fanfare and even a scripted endorsement from President George W. Bush. "This proposal delivers an immigration system that is secure, productive, orderly, and fair," he said. "I applaud the Senators who worked in the spirit of bipartisanship over the past months to address this issue, which is critically important to the American people."
But the work so far may be nothing compared with what lies ahead. While not all of the details of the compromise proposal have been made public, the general substance of the reform plan is already drawing fire from all sides. A spokesman for the AFL-CIO said the union was "troubled" by the temporary worker program. Conservative Republicans decried the idea that illegal immigrants could gain citizenship. Even leaders in the technology industry are concerned. One tech lobbyist said a complex point system for educated workers is "just a disaster."
The compromise may end up being little more than an opportunity for politicians to pose in front of television cameras. It is a step forward in terms of process, allowing debate to proceed in the Senate in the weeks ahead. But with critics pushing for so many changes in so many different directions, the proposal may do little to increase the odds of final legislation. "We are pleased that the process is moving forward," says Frank Sharry, executive director of the pro-immigrant National Immigration Forum. But there are "problematic elements in the package that could undermine the purpose of the bill."
The crux of the complex plan announced by Senator Edward Kennedy (D-Mass.), Democrats' chief negotiator on the deal, would give currently illegal immigrants a path to U.S. citizenship by allowing them to apply for permanent residence after working for eight years in the U.S. Applicants would have to pay penalties of $5,000 and would have limited ability to bring in family members. Kennedy, chairman of the Senate Health, Education, Labor & Pensions Committee, called the compromise "the best possible chance we will have in years to secure our borders and bring millions of people out of the shadows and into the sunshine of America."
The proposal would also increase the number of high-skill workers who could come to the U.S. with certain conditions. The annual cap for the temporary work visas known as H-1Bs would be increased to 115,000, from 65,000. The cap could also be increased 20% per year based on demand, not to exceed 180,000 per year. Technology companies, including Intel (INTC), Motorola (MOT), and Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), have been pushing for an increase.
"America's need for highly skilled workers has never been greater," said Bill Gates, chairman of Microsoft (MSFT), when he testified before the Senate in March (see BusinessWeek.com, 3/8/07, "Gates to Senate: More Visas"). "Broad-based prosperity in America depends on having enough such workers to satisfy our demand."
Yet while tech executives were pleased with the increase in temporary work visas, they had concerns about the proposed path to permanent residency for skilled workers. Now even after talented workers have been accepted for citizenship, they can wait five or more years to get their green card.