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Election 2008 June 10, 2008, 12:01AM EST

How Will Bill Clinton Manage His Brand?

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Dezenhall also worked in the Reagan White House communications department. "His 'brand' has always been a spectacle, something he has achieved through audacity…I don't see that changing," says Dezenhall.

As far as Bill Clinton's drawing card for speeches, the head of one leading speakers' bureau, who asked not to be identified, said he expected the former President would continue to be in big demand but that he would also work as much for his own image in the next five months as he does for Barack Obama's White House bid. "Bill Clinton is maybe one of the smartest people I have ever met, who has occasional lapses of judgment that make people doubt his brain," said the executive. "But that intelligence also allows him to fix any problem at hand."

Bill Clinton is the chief marketing officer of his own brand. And like any CMO, he will have some crucial strategy decisions to make in the next few weeks. It seems that President Clinton's ability to continue cashing in on his Presidency and brand identity will be very much in his own hands no matter if the U.S. is headed by President Obama or President John McCain.

Bill Clinton's value to his wife's Presidential run is still being debated. A CBS/New York Times survey in March showed that just 44% of Democrats said they were more likely to vote for Hillary because of her husband's presence. In an April Wall Street Journal poll, fewer than half of all voters had a favorable opinion of Bill Clinton, which was lower than in January when he enjoyed an almost 60% favorable rating. A survey by CNN/Opinion Research around the same time showed 53% of Americans viewed the former President favorably, while 43% viewed him unfavorably. These numbers are slightly better than Bill Clinton's 51% favorable and 48% unfavorable ratings at the time he left office.

On Balance, a Liability

A less scientific poll, a snap poll conducted online by New York cable channel NY1, asked Web-site visitors if Bill Clinton was a liability or an asset to Hillary's campaign. "Liability," replied 73%, presumably New Yorkers for the most part.

Just as Hillary Clinton's image and political share price will rise or fall depending on whether Obama wins in November, so Bill Clinton's future to some degree pivots off Obama's. E.J. Dionne, an op-ed columnist for The Washington Post (WPO) and senior fellow of governance studies at the Brookings Institution, says: "Bill Clinton should be a big part of Barack Obama's campaigning through Appalachia, because he knows how to connect with the white voters in that region who harbor doubts about Obama and who voted for [Clinton's] wife in the primary." That script for Clinton could be a path to cleansing his gaffes in the campaign that seemed to offend black voters who had been part of the Clinton base. Bill Clinton's conundrum is this: If he helps Obama win, and is seen as a key surrogate, the former President hands off his leadership of the Democratic Party to a non-Clinton. If Obama loses to McCain, Bill Clinton remains head of the Democratic Party.

One thing the Clintons must achieve, argue some, to steel the Clinton brand, is being seen as not contributing to an Obama loss. "There can be no hint of sour grapes. No spotlight stealing. No looks that say 'I told you so' when Obama inevitably stumbles between now and November," says Eric Hirshberg, creative chief of advertising agency Deutsch LA and the co-creator of a pro-Obama Internet video that has been adopted by the campaign. "If he isn't [seen as supporting Obama 100%], and Obama loses, the Clintons risk becoming the Ralph Nader of 2008, meaning the force that kept the party divided," says Hirshberg.

Bill Clinton's appeal and moneymaking apparatus abroad have long been as high, or higher, than in the U.S. "Bill Clinton has a strong currency across most of Europe and is seen as a very able diplomat, even more so in the light of the 'W' Administrations," says Allyson Stewart-Allen, an American-born marketing strategist living in London and who specializes in marketing U.S. brands in overseas markets. Indeed, given President George W. Bush's lack of popularity abroad, it is doubtful the soon-to-be-former President will challenge Clinton much in the big-money speech-giving sweepstakes in foreign venues. Stewart-Allen expects that Clinton can go back to being the most popular interpreter of American politics and current events for foreign audiences no matter who wins in November.

See BusinessWeek's slide show of top-grossing speakers and their fees.

Kiley is a senior correspondent in BusinessWeek's Detroit bureau.

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